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Prediction markets for Carrie
OptionVotes
60647
2307
Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?
Dec 17, 5:10 PMFeb 23, 7:59 AM
55.39%chance
9620273
OptionVotes
1450
885
Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?
Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
69.56%chance
406214
OptionVotes
3162
2308
A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
7.79%chance
295505
OptionVotes
3441
291
Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?
Jan 4, 2:01 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
59.99%chance
294426
OptionVotes
1109
895
OptionVotes
1976
506
Will the first Starship to land on Mars carry useful payload?
Sep 8, 2:40 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
78.3%chance
152046
OptionVotes
1899
526
Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?
Jul 14, 6:30 PMDec 31, 10:17 PM
6.85%chance
372036
OptionVotes
1780
888
[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
May 18, 4:42 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM
44.23%chance
71047
OptionVotes
1123
891
Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026?
Aug 25, 1:47 AMJan 12, 11:59 PM
70.32%chance
14907
OptionVotes
163
23
Will India's Gaganyaan spacecraft carry an astronaut to orbit before 2030?
Feb 26, 5:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
79.31%chance
12596
OptionVotes
1369
832
Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034
May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
47.95%chance
5350
OptionVotes
1042
960
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