DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Download on the App Store
Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Clarke News

    Prediction markets for Clarke

    Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

    Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM
    18992234233

    OptionProbability

    Jon Ossoff

    Gavin Newsom

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Other

    Kamala Harris

    Josh Shapiro

    Pete Buttigieg

    Mark Kelly

    J.B. Pritzker

    Andy Beshear

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Raphael Warnock

    Hunter Biden

    None

    John Fetterman

    Hillary Clinton

    Joe Biden

    Jeff Jackson

    Jared Polis

    Michelle Obama

    Amy Klobuchar

    Cory Booker

    Mitch Landrieu

    Roy Cooper

    Dianne Feinstein

    Jimmy Carter

    Tim Walz

    Chuck Schumer

    Tim Kaine

    Bernie Sanders

    Tammy Duckworth

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Elizabeth Warren

    Michael Bloomberg

    Wes Moore

    Dwayne Johnson

    [Duplicate - Invalid]

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Andrew Yang

    Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

    Dean Phillips

    Bob Ferguson

    Jay Inslee

    Kathy Hochul

    Ro Khanna

    Anthony Blinken

    Susan Rice

    Scott Wiener

    Donald Trump

    Sam Altman

    Jeff Merkley

    Merrick Garland

    Taylor Swift

    Tammy Baldwin

    Katie Porter

    Phil Murphy

    Cenk Uygur

    Mark Cuban

    Jamie Raskin

    Joe Manchin

    Sherrod Brown

    Chris Murphy

    Brian Schatz

    John Bel Edwards

    Clark Duke

    Stacey Abrams

    Nina Turner

    john smith

    Jon Stewart

    Duplicate ignore

    Gina Raimondo

    Ron Desantis

    Beto O'Rourke

    Vermin Supreme

    Invalid answer

    John Jacob

    Alex Jones

    Bob Roberston the IV

    Ruben Gallego

    Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

    Stephen A Smith

    17

    16

    16

    14

    8

    6

    5

    4

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Gunplay

    Bond will be a man

    Bond drives a car

    Bond wears a suit/tuxedo

    On screen fatalities

    London will appear on screen

    Car chase scene

    Urban scene

    Bond tells ≥1 joke

    Blue-eyed Bond

    Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"

    World capital other than London appears on screen

    A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.

    A named character speaks in a language other than English

    Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.

    Bond drinks a martini

    Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.

    Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer

    Opening action sequence

    The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.

    Gun Barrel Sequence

    Sex scene

    Q appears

    Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently

    Hacking electronics of some form

    Bond uses explosives

    The plot will be predominantly set in present day

    Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts

    The main theme song will be sung by a female

    The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.

    Fatal-if-missed aerial jump

    A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds

    Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.

    Asia will appear on screen

    It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)

    Someone goes through a pane of glass

    A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent

    "King" or "Queen" of England mentioned

    Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)

    Someone in the movie says the title

    @HenriThunberg enjoys the film

    It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die

    The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.

    >= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release

    The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.

    Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall

    South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen

    The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.

    Bond rides a motorcycle

    >=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release

    Critics will say it's a return to classic bond

    A sniper rifle is fired

    At least a portion filmed in Canada

    There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting

    Bond wields a Walther PPK

    Interracial sex scene

    Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)

    Jungle / forest scene

    Bond flys an aircraft

    James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government

    Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.

    Casino game scene

    Bond parachutes

    It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)

    Bond wears shorts

    Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present

    >=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release

    Arctic scene

    Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing

    Bond gets slapped

    M will be played by Ralph Fiennes

    Prison/jail scene

    Black market trafficking

    A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it

    Someone climbs around on the outside of a building

    Released in 2028

    Skydiving

    The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.

    A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)

    Bond licks something

    Bond and a pond shown on screen together

    someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)

    Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)

    Bond slaps someone

    A scene shows James Bond naked

    Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth

    Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)

    Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.

    There will be a voiced character that is an AI

    Bond rides a bicycle

    Torture

    James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.

    Bond receives a gunshot wound

    A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens

    Wilhelm scream

    Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)

    The title will refer to life and/or death

    @brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand

    Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack

    Bond drives a boat

    A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne

    Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)

    James Bond plays poker

    Bond commits arson

    Oral sex

    Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar

    Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen

    Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time

    Bond has facial hair

    Terrorists

    US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)

    Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case

    A safe is cracked (any means possible)

    Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen

    Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)

    Desert scene

    The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)

    A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot

    Ski chase scene

    Drug use

    Someone/something is x-rayed

    Thunderstorm

    Dessert scene

    An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)

    President of the United States is mentioned

    IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...

    Robots

    Death of a Bond love interest

    It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)

    Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick

    Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)

    There will be a promotional event in Fortnite

    Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail

    Bond wears a mask

    Sharks

    Cocaine or caviar appears on screen

    Bond will be in a submarine

    James Bond plays baccarat

    Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses

    Cryptocurrency is referenced

    Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage

    Bond is LQBTQ+

    James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't

    Main villain speaks Russian on screen

    Bond has a disability

    Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet

    Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage

    Mexico is shown on screen

    Jetpack

    The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)

    Bond rides an animal

    Nazis (neo- counts)

    An EMP device plays a central role.

    Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned

    At least one named character below 18 years old

    Canada is shown on screen

    Orgy

    Will feature something that can turn invisible

    Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen

    Underwater combat

    Bond goes to space

    The word "fuck" is said more than once.

    With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖

    Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)

    Bond is blond

    Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone

    Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)

    A hamburger appears on screen

    Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift

    A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)

    Assplay

    Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)

    Bond plays Russian roulette

    Bond uses a VR headset

    Bond has a neck tattoo

    Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond

    The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.

    Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.

    fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name

    A pinball machine will appear.

    Gay sex scene

    Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene

    Pirates

    Emilia Clarke portrays a character

    A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"

    Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)

    Theme song is performed by The Weeknd

    San Francisco is shown on screen

    Pegging

    Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)

    Horse cock on screen (flaccid)

    Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine

    Satanism

    Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz

    A clocks shows the time 4:20

    It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.

    Feature Nightcore music

    Bond uses chopsticks

    Supernatural entities

    There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American

    ChatGPT is referenced by any character

    Released in 2026

    Nuclear explosion

    Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)

    Any character says the word "anime"

    Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)

    Vampires

    Bond vapes

    Bond won't be Caucasian

    The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.

    Bond dies

    Scat play

    Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)

    Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme

    Horse cock on screen (erect)

    Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.

    Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).

    The handkerchief code is a major plot element

    James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."

    Bond is vegan

    The fourth wall is broken

    It will be directed by a woman

    Bond plays League of Legends

    Destiny appears on screen

    Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”

    Dragons

    Dinosaurs

    It will be directed by Christopher Nolan

    Bond hits the griddy

    98

    97

    97

    96

    95

    95

    94

    93

    91

    91

    90

    90

    90

    90

    89

    87

    87

    86

    85

    85

    84

    83

    82

    80

    77

    77

    76

    75

    72

    72

    70

    69

    69

    69

    68

    68

    68

    65

    62

    60

    60

    59

    59

    59

    58

    58

    57

    57

    56

    55

    55

    55

    54

    53

    53

    53

    53

    52

    51

    50

    50

    50

    49

    49

    49

    49

    48

    48

    48

    46

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    43

    43

    43

    43

    43

    42

    41

    41

    39

    39

    39

    38

    38

    38

    37

    37

    37

    37

    37

    36

    36

    36

    35

    35

    35

    34

    34

    33

    32

    32

    32

    32

    32

    32

    32

    31

    31

    30

    30

    30

    29

    29

    29

    29

    29

    28

    28

    28

    28

    27

    26

    26

    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

    24

    24

    23

    23

    23

    23

    23

    22

    22

    21

    21

    21

    21

    20

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    17

    17

    16

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    14

    14

    14

    14

    14

    14

    13

    13

    12

    12

    11

    11

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?

    Nov 27, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3121091

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    David Reich

    Jensen Huang

    Dylan Patel (as guest)

    Ajeya Cotra

    Dwarkesh Patel (see note)

    Nicholas Carlini

    Dean Spears

    Dean Ball

    Alec Radford

    Jack Clark

    Gary Marcus

    Joscha Bach

    Holden Karnofsky

    Yann LeCun

    Sundar Pichai

    Satya Nadella

    Sarah Paine

    Demis Hassabis

    Amanda Askell

    Tyler Cowen

    Daniel Kokotajlo

    Sam Altman

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Ilya Sutskever

    Ian Morris

    Jeff Bezos

    Michael Dell

    Scott Alexander

    Joe Henrich

    Nick Bostrom

    roon

    Noam Brown

    Hans Moravec

    Paul J Werbos

    Nate Soares

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Matt Levine

    Janus @repligate

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    François Chollet

    Michael Levin

    Helen Toner

    Joe Carlsmith

    Tamay Besiroglu

    Mira Murati

    Doris Taylor

    Carl Shulman

    Liang Wenfeng (CEO of DeepSeek)

    Mustafa Suleyman

    Tanner Greer

    Dan Hendrycks

    Robert Caro

    Andrej Karpathy

    George Hotz

    Barack Obama

    Bill Gates

    Xiao Hong (CEO of Manus AI)

    Donald Trump

    Kamala Harris

    Bill Clinton

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    41

    39

    38

    33

    28

    27

    27

    26

    26

    25

    25

    25

    24

    24

    23

    23

    23

    22

    22

    22

    22

    20

    20

    20

    19

    19

    19

    18

    18

    18

    18

    18

    16

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    14

    14

    13

    13

    12

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    5

    4

    4

    OptionProbability

    Any other person

    William Steiger

    Mark Dybul

    Ashwin Vasan

    John Nkengasong

    Matshidiso Moeti

    Helen Clark

    43

    16

    11

    10

    8

    8

    4

    Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

    Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    273011

    OptionProbability

    Other

    [None - Position will cease to exist]

    Mira Murati

    Elon Musk

    Greg Brockman

    Sam Altman

    Bret Taylor

    Larry Summers

    Adam D'Angelo

    Andrej Karpathy

    Eric Schmidt

    Paul Graham

    Peter Thiel

    Wojciech Zaremba

    Ben Horowitz

    Jessica Livingston

    Marc Benioff

    Sheryl Sandberg

    Tim Cook

    John Doerr

    Reed Hastings

    Fei Fei Lee

    Alexander Wang

    George Hotz

    Brad Lightcap

    Bob Mcgrew

    Peter Welinder

    Jason Kwon

    Mark Chen

    Helen Toner

    Ilya Sutskever

    Emmett Shear

    Dario Amodei

    Satya Nadela

    Jeff Bezos

    Demis Hassabis

    Robin Li

    Clément Delangue

    Lila Ibrahim

    Alex Karp

    Reid Hoffman

    Raquel Urtasun

    Marc Andreessen

    Aidan Gomez

    Sandra Rivera

    Gary Marcus

    Jaime Teevan

    Sundar Pichai

    Jack Clark

    Anna Makanju

    Shane Legg

    Andrew Ng

    Pushmeet Kohli

    Yann LeCun

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Yoshua Bengio

    Hinton

    Marissa Mayer

    Spencer Rascoff

    Garry Tan

    52

    12

    4

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Gina Hinojosa

    Will Hurd

    Mayes Middleton

    Dan Patrick

    Eric Johnson

    James Talarico

    Dave Clark

    Ken Paxton

    42

    21

    12

    9

    6

    3

    3

    2

    2

    Who will be the next female Speaker of the House?

    Mar 23, 2:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    201875

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    Katherine Clark

    Marjorie Taylor Greene (MTG)

    87

    7

    6

    1

    Golf: Who will win the 2027 US Open?

    Jun 22, 12:55 AMJun 20, 11:59 PM
    91145

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Wyndham Clark

    Scottie Scheffler

    Rory McIlroy

    65

    14

    14

    8

    Will Caitlin Clark win WNBA MVP in any season from 2024-2028?

    May 27, 11:53 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM
    59.07%chance
    211141

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1201

    832

    Where will Mathcamp 2027 be held?

    Aug 4, 5:00 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
    9256

    OptionProbability

    University of Puget Sound

    Colby College

    Other

    Colorado School of Mines

    Champlain College

    Lewis and Clark College

    71

    15

    4

    3

    3

    3

    OptionProbability

    Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work

    Dec '28: AI systems able to autonomously design their successors (RSI)

    Nov '26: AI good enough at biology to both advance science and potentially proliferate bioweapon risks

    Nov '27: Autonomous companies exist and generate $10m+ revenues

    Apr '27: A team of humans collaborating with AI will make a Nobel-winning discovery

    55

    55

    47

    46

    45

    Asimov, Clarke, Heinlein

    Aug 19, 11:00 PM
    120

Latest stories

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

  • WhatsApp

    Top Stories

    Join
  • Telegram

    Top Stories

    Join