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Costa News

    Prediction markets for Costa

    Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?

    May 6, 3:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    12876192

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Pierbattista Pizzaballa

    Luis Antonio Tagle

    Lazarus You Heung-sik

    Pietro Parolin

    José Tolentino de Mendonça

    No one

    Giorgio Marengo

    Robert Prevost

    Francis Leo

    Paulo Cezar Costa

    Américo Aguiar

    Donald Trump

    François-Xavier Bustillo

    88

    5

    3

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Muskogee, Oklahoma

    No honeymoon occurs

    New Zealand

    Portugal

    Costa Rica

    Spain

    Mexico

    Seychelles

    Australia

    Hawaii

    Mauritius

    Iceland

    India

    Staten Island, New York

    The United Kingdom

    The Bahamas

    Sequoia National Park (and surrounding parks)

    France

    Belgium

    California

    Austria

    Å, Lofoten, Norway

    Italy

    Japan

    South Korea

    Thailand

    Brazil

    Ireland

    Trans-Siberian Railway

    Mount Rainier national park

    Greece

    Las Vegas, Nevada

    Amsterdam

    Bali

    Maldives

    Fiji

    Yellowstone National Park

    Nice, France

    Budapest

    Prague

    Banff, Canada

    Phuket

    Chiang Mai

    Samui

    Krabi

    Rovinj, Croatia

    North Korea

    Antarctica

    Sealand

    13

    11

    9

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be a UFC champion at some point?

    Mar 27, 6:07 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
    197198

    OptionProbability

    Merab Dvalishvili

    Belal Muhammad

    Jack Della Maddalena

    Magomed Ankalaev

    Kayla Harrison

    Khamzat Chimaev

    Shavkat Rakhmonov

    Arman Tsarukyan

    Movsar Evloev

    Diego Lopes

    Amir Albazi

    Ian Machado Garry

    Sean Brady

    Brendan Allen

    Erin Blanchfield

    Maycee Barber

    Mayra Bueno Silva

    Bo Nickal

    Ketlen Vieira

    Steve Erceg

    Manel Kape

    Kai Kara-France

    Rafael Fiziev

    Paulo Costa

    Tatiana Suarez

    Mateusz Gamrot

    Aleksandar Rakić

    Benoît Saint Denis

    Jared Cannonier

    Khalil Rountree Jr.

    Alexander Volkov

    Cory Sandhagen

    Sergei Pavlovich

    Arnold Allen

    Jailton Almeida

    Michael Page

    Yan Xiaonan

    Brian Ortega

    Michael Chandler

    Curtis Blaydes

    Josh Emmett

    Calvin Kattar

    Beneil Dariush

    Drew Dober

    Bobby Green

    Vicente Luque

    Marvin Vettori

    Paul Craig

    Johnny Walker

    Muhammad Mokaev

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    74

    61

    48

    44

    39

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    28

    27

    26

    26

    25

    23

    23

    21

    21

    19

    19

    19

    19

    18

    16

    15

    15

    15

    11

    10

    10

    8

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    0

    Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

    Oct 29, 4:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    574945

    OptionProbability

    St. Kitts and Nevis

    USA

    Panama

    Suriname

    Bhutan

    Argentina

    Costa Rica

    Other

    Kenya

    Ukraine

    Nigeria

    Mexico

    Uruguay

    Brazil

    Fiji

    Tonga

    Honduras

    Portugal

    Switzerland

    Georgia 🇬🇪

    Qatar

    Ecuador

    Bahamas

    UAE

    USA (double, plz sell)

    USA (double, plz sell)

    23

    13

    11

    11

    8

    7

    6

    6

    5

    4

    2

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Chile

    Argentina

    Ethiopia

    Brazil

    Venezuela

    Barbados

    Germany

    France

    Mexico

    Costa Rica

    Italy

    Canada

    25

    20

    19

    17

    4

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    Will Costa Rica legalize recreational marijuana by 2026?

    Aug 22, 2:16 PMMay 8, 3:59 PM
    9.7%chance
    161889

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2485

    114

    Jair Bolsonaro arrested before December 31, 2025?

    Nov 25, 2:09 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
    59.96%chance
    10394

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    122

    82

    Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

    Dec 14, 5:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    13352

    OptionProbability

    Suriname

    Argentina

    Other

    Costa Rica

    Qatar

    Georgia

    Mexico

    Nigeria

    Kenya

    Russia

    Ukraine

    North Korea

    Bahamas

    35

    18

    17

    6

    5

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    OptionProbability

    Costa Rica

    Philippines

    Ecuador

    Uruguay

    Ukraine

    Indonesia

    South Korea

    Thailand

    China

    Taiwan

    72

    69

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    45

    45

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    301

    187

    Who will be the next UN General secretary?

    Apr 12, 11:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
    6105

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]

    Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]

    Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]

    Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]

    Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]

    Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]

    56

    14

    10

    5

    5

    5

    5

    Santa Clara County joins Bay Area regional transit funding measure?

    Jul 25, 5:20 AMAug 11, 5:19 AM
    51.96%chance
    226

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    104

    96

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