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Top stories

Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Daniel

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.97%chance

115809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3175

315

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

103200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

283

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

462

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.68%chance

72944

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3120

321

What will Daniel Lord’s debt be on January 1st, 2027?

Aug 23, 5:33 AMAug 24, 3:59 AM

141689

OptionProbability

10,000 - 19,999

5,000 - 9,999

20,000 - 29,999

30,000 - 39,999

40,000 - 50,000

0 - 4,999

Above 50,000

24

20

13

12

12

11

8

Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?

Aug 22, 11:03 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

62.21%chance

241358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5320

4950

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Apr 30, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.26%chance

6418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

391

55

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

13210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

971

Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?

Aug 4, 11:03 PMOct 3, 11:59 PM

27.08%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will Daniel Lord publicly state that he is in a romantic relationship before January 1, 2027?

Aug 20, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.28%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

Will Daniel appear in Israel in September 2026?

Sep 2, 11:22 AMSep 30, 9:00 PM

50%chance

142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will DJ Daniel live to see the end of Trump's second term?

Mar 7, 2:28 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.52%chance

326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
New York
Culture
United States
Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor
Authors
3
1 year ago

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