Daniel News

1 year ago

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.97%chance

115809

OptionVotes

YES

3175

315

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

103200

OptionVotes

YES

3614

283

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

YES

2165

462

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.68%chance

72944

OptionVotes

YES

3120

321

Will Daniel Ortega lose power in 2026?

Jul 21, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.03%chance

81002

OptionVotes

YES

444

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

13210

OptionVotes

YES

1053

971

Little Daniel stocks

May 4, 12:36 AMMay 4, 3:59 AM

2169

OptionProbability

YES

218

Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.48%chance

6125

OptionVotes

YES

217

Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?

Aug 4, 11:03 PMOct 3, 11:59 PM

41.35%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40?

Aug 2, 3:09 PMAug 30, 10:59 PM

36.77%chance

326

OptionVotes

YES

101

100

Will Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030?

Apr 5, 10:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.45%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

105

Daniel Lurie allows federalized troop deployment in San Francisco, during combined tenure with Donald Trump?

Apr 1, 1:54 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

7.01%chance

OptionVotes

YES

101

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Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Will Daniel Ortega lose power in 2026?

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Little Daniel stocks

Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?

Will Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40?

Will Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030?

Daniel Lurie allows federalized troop deployment in San Francisco, during combined tenure with Donald Trump?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram