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Prediction markets for Daniel
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.'s vote total exceed Peltola's winning margin in Alaska's Senate race?
Oct 31, 5:24 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM
28.04%chance
2510812
OptionVotes
2986
1427
Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?
Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM
90.97%chance
115809
OptionVotes
3175
315
Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?
Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
7.26%chance
103200
OptionVotes
3614
283
Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?
May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
82.42%chance
213066
OptionVotes
2165
462
Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?
Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM
90.68%chance
72944
OptionVotes
3120
321
OptionProbability
24
20
13
12
12
11
8
Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?
Aug 22, 11:03 PMDec 1, 12:59 AM
62.43%chance
251389
OptionVotes
5350
4932
Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027
Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.62%chance
14610
OptionVotes
1453
880
Do Daniel, Yash, William, Ryan, Pascal and I all get into our earlies?
Nov 3, 11:47 PMJan 9, 11:59 PM
9547
OptionProbability
38
32
9
7
6
6
3
Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?
Apr 30, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.26%chance
6418
OptionVotes
391
55
Will Daniel Lord publicly state that he is in a romantic relationship before January 1, 2027?
Aug 20, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.28%chance
570
OptionVotes
112
89
Will DJ Daniel live to see the end of Trump's second term?
Mar 7, 2:28 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
43.52%chance
326
OptionVotes
114
88
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