Daniel News

3 months ago

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

87.24%chance

95249

OptionVotes

YES

2615

382

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

YES

2165

462

Will Daniel Larson be back in 2025?

Dec 1, 11:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.22%chance

33050

OptionVotes

YES

2050

488

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8.29%chance

102950

OptionVotes

YES

3326

301

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

86.85%chance

72394

OptionVotes

YES

2570

389

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

1283

975

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

13210

OptionVotes

YES

1053

971

Little Daniel stocks

May 4, 12:36 AMMay 4, 3:59 AM

2169

OptionProbability

YES

218

Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.48%chance

6125

OptionVotes

YES

217

Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2027?

Aug 26, 4:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.6%chance

273

OptionVotes

YES

171

Will Daniel and Harper get back together?

Dec 24, 5:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.34%chance

254

OptionVotes

YES

154

Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

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Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

Will Daniel Larson be back in 2025?

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Little Daniel stocks

Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2027?

Will Daniel and Harper get back together?

Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram