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Top stories

Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call

Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Dar

Darius Stock

Oct 29, 11:50 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1188927753

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2790

1999

Does dark matter exist?

May 1, 4:37 PMMay 8, 8:59 PM

80.36%chance

507156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

840

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

Apr 22, 9:43 PMDec 28, 7:59 AM

67.19%chance

384159

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NO

YES

1552

520

Will a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?

Jun 16, 10:13 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

67.74%chance

362720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

977

952

Will Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?

Aug 23, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

13.75%chance

31505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2505

399

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Feb 19, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.6%chance

18973

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NO

YES

1322

756

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

Nov 27, 7:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.64%chance

4903

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YES

NO

1903

525

What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?

Oct 30, 4:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

28.62%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

953

Will Darien Village at Próspera be officially completed by EOY 2027?

Sep 18, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.34%chance

8262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

875

Will Dario Amodei Say Anthropic Has a “Genius in a datacenter” before April 2027?

Nov 5, 10:37 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

4122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

911

If I ever debate Darth Dawkins, will I 'win' by Manifold's judgement?

Feb 14, 2:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.74%chance

1185

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NO

YES

1007

988

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Mar 20, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.62%chance

240

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NO

121

83

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Pakistan
Armenia
Politics
Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call
Authors
4
1 year ago

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