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Top stories

Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call

Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call

Authors

4

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Dar

Darius Stock

Oct 29, 11:50 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1186924679

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2788

2000

Does dark matter exist?

May 1, 4:37 PMMay 8, 8:59 PM

80.36%chance

507156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

840

Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045

Feb 17, 1:55 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

234341

OptionProbability

Any WIMPs or Axions not listed in other answers

Primordial Black Holes

No Clear Leading Theory

Other

Modified Gravity Theories

Combination of particle types

Matter outside of our 3D space

Second Flavor Hydrogen Atoms

Gravitons

MACHOS

26

22

17

15

5

5

5

2

1

1

Will a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?

Jun 16, 10:13 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

67.74%chance

362720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

977

952

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

Nov 27, 7:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.64%chance

4903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1903

525

What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?

Oct 30, 4:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.05%chance

12569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

973

Will Aubrey Darwin Niederhoffer become a Thiel Fellow before 2028?

Oct 30, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.33%chance

3254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1221

827

DARPA Lift challenge participants achieve over 4X lift ratio?

Nov 14, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.3%chance

2123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

910

Will Darien Village at Próspera be officially completed by EOY 2027?

Sep 18, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.21%chance

6112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

908

If I ever debate Darth Dawkins, will I 'win' by Manifold's judgement?

Feb 14, 2:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.74%chance

1185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

988

Will the DARPA Lift challenge have qualifying participants with a lift ratio of over 2X?

Nov 14, 10:35 PMDec 31, 10:22 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?

Mar 20, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Pakistan
Armenia
Politics
Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call
Authors
4
3 months ago

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