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Prediction markets for David Chang
Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Mar 17, 7:16 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM
94.59%chance
127898
OptionVotes
4229
242
OptionProbability
100
97
94
94
85
83
78
76
74
68
59
53
48
47
46
30
21
17
13
9
5
1
0
0
When will the NCAA Division I Men’s basketball tournament (March Madness) expand beyond 68 teams?
Jan 2, 3:12 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM
41673
OptionProbability
50
33
6
6
4
1
1
Will Finland be the happiest country for the 9th year in a row?
Dec 30, 5:12 AMMar 19, 9:59 PM
79.69%chance
191383
OptionVotes
1981
505
Will I become vegan/vegetarian/pescatarian before 2030?
Jun 2, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.58%chance
14997
OptionVotes
1009
966
OptionProbability
93
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
If safe-ish ASI is created, will it be able to hack human minds within a year?
Sep 3, 1:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
60.54%chance
6434
OptionVotes
124
81
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district
Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
285
OptionProbability
79
10
10
What changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?
Dec 19, 9:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
764
OptionProbability
26
20
20
11
8
8
7
OptionVotes
138
72
Will David Kirkpatrick estimate Trump earned more than 10 billion USD from the presidency?
Jan 20, 7:51 PMFeb 21, 7:50 PM
54.75%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
OptionProbability
75
65
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