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Top stories

Survivor Forgives as Mushroom Killer Erin Patterson Nears Sentencing

Survivor Forgives as Mushroom Killer Erin Patterson Nears Sentencing

Authors

19

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Don

If I set my curtain on fire and don't attempt to put it out for the first 1 minute, will my house burn down?

Nov 20, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.17%chance

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Will Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?

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Will I get paid willingly from the next legally-enforced bet I make with a person I don't know?

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52.83%chance

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1058

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Will OpenAI publicly state that they DON'T know how to safely align a superintelligence, after 2027?

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25.98%chance

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1415

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Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026?

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Will "Please, Don't Roll Your Own Metaethics" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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24.33%chance

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NO

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1100

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Jul 22, 10:46 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.74%chance

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NO

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1050

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Jul 5, 5:49 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.46%chance

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17%chance

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Will "High-level actions don’t screen off intent" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Aug 25, 2025
Australia
Crime
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Survivor Forgives as Mushroom Killer Erin Patterson Nears Sentencing
Authors
19
1 year ago

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