Evans News

Predictle / any forecasting game

Charity lottery

User calibration

Better Explore page / Feed

Subscription plan

Interest on all positions

Merch store

Improved liquidity handling

Market Creator can approve/deny/vet user submitted answers to their markets

Early resolve NO for sum-to-1 multi-choice options

Negative risk conversion

interesting comment notifications

Space the "X" and "Add" buttons farther apart on M.C./Set markets (or change the UI for this altogether)

UI/UX changes that favor limit orders

First class N/A resolution

finer resolution betting near 0%/100%

Market comment section search/filter

Re-implement "Unlinked Multiple Choice" as "A bunch of full binary markets that happen to be displayed on the same page"

Groups / communities

An update to the loans / margin / capitalization system that Evan Actually Likes

Clans

Any A/B tested UI change

Non third-party sign in

Private manifold instances

Poker

Paid DMs

Other

Paul Christiano

Ben Goertzel

Daniel Hillis

Doug Lenat

Krantz Hanzinpantz

Eliezer Yudkowsky

John Wentworth

davidad

Vanessa Kosoy

Janus

Evan Hubinger

Buck Shlegeris

Jan Leike

Ilya Sutskever

Alex Turner

Will 1. e4 be the most common opening move?

Will Matthias Bluebaum win a game?

Will a player over 30 win the Candidates Tournament?

Will any game last 100 or more moves?

Will an American Player (Fabiano or Hikaru) win the Candidates?

Will Matthias Bluebaum finish last?

Will a player from Asia (Pragg, Sindarov, Wei Yi) win the Candidates?

Will Fabiano Caruana win the Candidates Tournament?

Will any game begin with a move other than 1. e4, d4, c4, or Nf3?

Will Hikaru win the Candidates Tournament?

Will Anish Giri have the most drawn games or tie for the most drawn games of any player?

Will a player from Europe (Giri, BlueBaum, Esipenko) win the Candidates?

WIll the winner be decided by tie-breaks?

Will any of the following openings be played: Danish Gambit, Benko Gambit, Evans Gambit, King's Gambit, Smith-Morra Gambit?

Will Anish Giri win the Candidates Tournament?

NO

NO

NO

NO

YES

YES

NO