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Prediction markets for Evans
OptionVotes
8447
140
If AGI has an okay outcome, which researcher first publicised the agenda that was most responsible?
Jul 24, 7:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
246962
OptionProbability
40
11
6
6
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
98
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
179
104
Will Chris Evans appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
Jan 27, 10:08 AMApr 30, 11:00 AM
52.21%chance
17381
OptionVotes
216
90
Will Evan McMullen (@gnomicperfect) meet Luca Rade, Alex Zhu, or Valerie Zhang by 2030
Sep 23, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
89.45%chance
2210
OptionVotes
291
34
OptionVotes
131
76
Will mason, Jose Luis Ricon, Evan Lin, Henry Bass, adic_9, janus/repligate all get to live in a treehouse by 2027?
Jul 27, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.31%chance
125
OptionVotes
124
80
Will @adic_9, Henry Bass, Evan Lin, Chris Lakin, Claire, and autism hexafluoride all live in a CABIN together?
Jul 27, 5:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
Will Evan McMullen (of the stoa) and Stephen Hsu both get to meet in Michigan in 2025/2026?
Nov 24, 8:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Do you believe @evan should have been punished by the mods for the market in the description?
Sep 14, 8:42 PMSep 22, 4:59 AM
600
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