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Fibonacci News

    Prediction markets for Fibonacci

    When will the EU cease to exist?

    Dec 9, 12:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    327044

    OptionProbability

    2050-2070

    2160 or after

    2071-2104

    2105-2159

    2037-2049

    2029-2036

    Up to 2028

    20

    20

    19

    18

    12

    8

    2

    Which of these will I do during the 2027 USA TST cycle?

    Jul 30, 2:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
    164959

    OptionProbability

    @Incompleteusern adds another answer to this market (after this answer is added)

    Solve at least 3 of {P2/5 (non-APMO), P4 (APMO)}

    Go to a country besides the US

    Lose the game

    Solve every P1/4 (non-APMO) and P1,2,3 (APMO)

    Solve some P3/6 (non-APMO) or P5 (APMO)

    Get highest score on a day (tied counts)

    Get a Fibonacci number of points on someday (no rescale APMO)

    Sweep a day

    Get a 67 (no wrap around)

    Stub a toe

    See A Zebra IRL

    Have more than a third of the answers I made resolve yes

    Solve a problem with at most 6 solves in the TST group

    Learn Toki Pona

    Learn Rust or Haskell

    Learn what a Monad is

    Make IMO 2027

    Learn how to play Riichi Mahjong

    Eat a Hamburger while completely blindfolded

    Solve a geometry problem by complex numbers or barycentric coordinates

    Get strictly highest score on a day

    Solve every combinatorics problem

    Solve every P2/5 (non-APMO) and P4 (APMO)

    Get swept on a day

    Get a girlfriend before USAMO

    Use the method of moving points on any geometry problem

    James Bond on any day (non APMO)

    Get in a romantic relationship with someone who identifies as nonbinary

    07777 or 17777 APMO

    Get a boyfriend before USAMO

    100

    85

    75

    72

    64

    64

    57

    55

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    45

    41

    40

    34

    30

    24

    22

    22

    21

    20

    18

    15

    12

    8

    8

    7

    5

    In what year will the 1801st Fibonacci number be fully factorized?

    Oct 7, 10:32 PMOct 15, 4:59 AM
    71106

    OptionProbability

    Other

    2038

    2033

    2032

    2031

    2030

    2029

    2026

    2027

    2028

    2025

    2023

    2024

    47

    12

    11

    9

    7

    5

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    0

    0

    How many prime factors does the 1801st Fibonacci number have?

    Oct 7, 10:30 PMOct 15, 4:59 AM
    15707

    OptionProbability

    2

    3

    4

    Other

    55

    37

    5

    4

    Will this market resolve on a % in the Fibonacci sequence?

    Dec 27, 5:12 PMDec 27, 5:10 PM
    51.93%chance
    13308

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    104

    96

    10 years into its mission, what will be the biggest accomplishments contributed to by JWST?

    Oct 24, 7:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    7164

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Evidence of extraterrestrial life

    Observation of population III stars (first generation)

    Spiral galaxies forming earlier than thought

    Finding Earth twin (geologically)

    37

    20

    18

    14

    12

    5 years into its mission, what will be the biggest accomplishments contributed to by JWST?

    Oct 24, 6:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    7112

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Little Red Dots

    Evidence of extraterrestrial life

    Has observed population III stars (first generation)

    Spiral galaxies forming earlier than previously thought

    42

    32

    12

    8

    7

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