Gates News

Japan Pledges ¥810 Billion to Gavi After Ishiba–Gates Meeting

4 months ago

Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs

Bio

Health

AI Modeling

Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs

4 months ago

Washington DC

Politics

United States

Trump Holds White House Meeting With Bill Gates

3 months ago

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2025?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.61%chance

203456

OptionVotes

YES

3681

848

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Dec 28, 6:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

22.22%chance

292037

OptionVotes

YES

1541

699

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Aug 28, 7:08 AMSep 5, 6:59 AM

8.8%chance

201814

OptionVotes

YES

1578

904

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

30.83%chance

351372

OptionVotes

YES

1342

622

When will Larian Studios announce Baldur's Gate 4?

Dec 28, 10:30 AMNov 13, 10:59 PM

201109

OptionProbability

Never

Other

2025

2026

2024

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

13524

OptionVotes

YES

1130

635

Will Golden Gate Park charge for street parking by 2026-06-30?

Feb 24, 12:01 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

4521

OptionProbability

No metered parking happens before 2026-06-30

2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31

2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30

Before 2025-09-30

2025-10-01 to 2025-12-31

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.4%chance

13284

OptionVotes

YES

1240

917

Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?

Aug 2, 1:33 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

13.54%chance

4195

OptionVotes

YES

253

Will "The Pearly Gates" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 12, 5:42 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.11%chance

2159

OptionVotes

YES

1034

815

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

Apr 1, 10:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.1%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

219

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

3/2025

4/2025

1/2026

Other

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Washington DC
Politics
United States
Trump Holds White House Meeting With Bill Gates
Authors
12
3 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Bio
Health
AI Modeling
Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs
Authors
13
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Africa
Japan
Health
Japan Pledges ¥810 Billion to Gavi After Ishiba–Gates Meeting
Authors
10
4 months ago

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Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2025?

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

When will Larian Studios announce Baldur's Gate 4?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Will Golden Gate Park charge for street parking by 2026-06-30?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?

Will "The Pearly Gates" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Latest stories

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