Gates News

Japan Pledges ¥810 Billion to Gavi After Ishiba–Gates Meeting

1 year ago

Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs

Bio

Health

AI Modeling

Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs

1 year ago

Washington DC

Politics

United States

Trump Holds White House Meeting With Bill Gates

1 year ago

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Aug 28, 7:08 AMSep 5, 6:59 AM

5.95%chance

213205

OptionVotes

YES

2264

850

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Dec 28, 6:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

20.56%chance

302137

OptionVotes

YES

1695

697

Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?

Mar 17, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.23%chance

182096

OptionVotes

YES

2099

610

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

31.32%chance

351387

OptionVotes

YES

1371

650

When will Larian Studios announce Baldur's Gate 4?

Dec 28, 10:30 AMNov 13, 10:59 PM

201210

OptionProbability

Never

Other

2025

2026

2024

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

13524

OptionVotes

YES

1130

635

When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes

Mar 15, 5:46 PMMar 15, 5:41 PM

6492

OptionProbability

2029 or later

By Dec 31 2027

By Dec 31 2028

by dec 31 2026

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.67%chance

10473

OptionVotes

YES

278

118

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.38%chance

14341

OptionVotes

YES

1297

902

Will Bill Gates (Microsoft, philanthropy) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 11, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.54%chance

8324

OptionVotes

YES

494

120

Will P. D. Mangan die before Bill Gates?

Jan 31, 4:14 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

50.1%chance

8269

OptionVotes

YES

137

116

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

Apr 1, 10:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.1%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

219

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Washington DC
Politics
United States
Trump Holds White House Meeting With Bill Gates
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12
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Bio
Health
AI Modeling
Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs
Authors
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1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Africa
Japan
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Japan Pledges ¥810 Billion to Gavi After Ishiba–Gates Meeting
Authors
10
1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Gates

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Prediction markets for Gates

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

When will Larian Studios announce Baldur's Gate 4?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2035?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Will Bill Gates (Microsoft, philanthropy) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will P. D. Mangan die before Bill Gates?

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

Latest stories

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