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Prediction markets for Gates
OptionVotes
2264
850
Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?
Mar 17, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.65%chance
192496
OptionVotes
2499
543
Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?
Dec 28, 6:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
20.56%chance
302137
OptionVotes
1695
697
Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?
Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM
31.32%chance
351387
OptionVotes
1371
650
OptionProbability
96
3
1
1
0
OptionVotes
1130
635
OptionProbability
67
17
10
5
OptionVotes
278
118
OptionVotes
1297
902
Will Bill Gates (Microsoft, philanthropy) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 11, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.54%chance
8324
OptionVotes
494
120
OptionVotes
137
116
Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?
Apr 1, 10:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.1%chance
480
OptionVotes
219
92
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