Gates News

Japan Pledges ¥810 Billion to Gavi After Ishiba–Gates Meeting

4 months ago

Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs

Bio

Health

AI Modeling

Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs

4 months ago

Washington DC

Politics

United States

Trump Holds White House Meeting With Bill Gates

3 months ago

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2025?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.61%chance

203456

OptionVotes

YES

3681

848

When will Baldur's Gate 3 get a DLC release?

Dec 11, 6:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62192

OptionProbability

2026 or later (or never)

1H 2024 (before July 1st)

2H 2024 (after June 30th)

1H 2025 (before July 1st)

2H 2025 (after July 1st)

2023

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Dec 28, 6:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

22.22%chance

292037

OptionVotes

YES

1541

699

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Aug 28, 7:08 AMSep 5, 6:59 AM

8.8%chance

201814

OptionVotes

YES

1578

904

Will Bill Gates make any Tweeter(X) posts in 2025?

Feb 4, 1:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

99%chance

91757

OptionVotes

YES

1851

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

30.83%chance

351372

OptionVotes

YES

1342

622

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

13524

OptionVotes

YES

1130

635

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.4%chance

13284

OptionVotes

YES

1240

917

Will P. D. Mangan die before Bill Gates?

Jan 31, 4:14 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

50.1%chance

8269

OptionVotes

YES

137

116

Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?

Aug 2, 1:33 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

13.54%chance

4195

OptionVotes

YES

253

Will "The Pearly Gates" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 12, 5:42 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.11%chance

2159

OptionVotes

YES

1034

815

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

3/2025

4/2025

1/2026

Other

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Washington DC
Politics
United States
Trump Holds White House Meeting With Bill Gates
Authors
12
3 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Bio
Health
AI Modeling
Bill Gates Launches $1 Million AI Prize to Speed Alzheimer’s Breakthroughs
Authors
13
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Africa
Japan
Health
Japan Pledges ¥810 Billion to Gavi After Ishiba–Gates Meeting
Authors
10
4 months ago

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Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2025?

When will Baldur's Gate 3 get a DLC release?

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Will Bill Gates make any Tweeter(X) posts in 2025?

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Will P. D. Mangan die before Bill Gates?

Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?

Will "The Pearly Gates" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Latest stories

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