Greenblatt News

ADL CEO Greenblatt Criticizes NYC Candidate Mamdani Over Outreach, Citing 'Globalize the Intifada'; CNBC Corrects False Claims; CAIR Seeks NGO Funding Clarity

4 months ago

By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?

Jun 29, 4:35 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

6763832

OptionProbability

01/01/2030

01/01/2028

01/01/2026

01/01/2025

By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

Feb 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

226881

OptionProbability

Before 2035-01-01

Before 2030-01-01

Before 2028-01-01

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-01-01

Before 2024-06-01

Before 2025-01-01

Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?

Apr 26, 5:22 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

89.78%chance

203919

OptionVotes

YES

2761

202

Will there be crewed Starship flights to Mars in 4 years if there are successful launches 2 years from now?

Sep 7, 11:19 PMJul 15, 6:59 AM

19.75%chance

131499

OptionVotes

YES

2016

496

Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?

Sep 7, 11:13 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

13.24%chance

11975

OptionVotes

YES

644

196

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

Apr 26, 5:27 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

66.39%chance

12380

OptionVotes

YES

250

104

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?

Apr 26, 5:27 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

48.72%chance

11233

OptionVotes

YES

205

110

Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?

Apr 26, 5:23 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

52.96%chance

8202

OptionVotes

YES

212

110

Next Entain CEO

May 6, 12:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

166

OptionProbability

Richard Flint

Stella David

Other

Adam Greenblatt

Dominic Grounsell

Andreas Meinrad

Rob Wood

William Hornbuckle

Johnny Hartnett

Jonathan Halkyard

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
New York
Politics
United States
ADL CEO Greenblatt Criticizes NYC Candidate Mamdani Over Outreach, Citing 'Globalize the Intifada'; CNBC Corrects False Claims; CAIR Seeks NGO Funding Clarity
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By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?

By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?

Will there be crewed Starship flights to Mars in 4 years if there are successful launches 2 years from now?

Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?

Next Entain CEO

Latest stories

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