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Prediction markets for Greg
OptionProbability
26
18
13
5
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
26
20
17
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
51
19
8
6
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Sam Altman or Greg Brockman join a Elon Musk AI lab?
Nov 18, 12:48 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.28%chance
188456
OptionVotes
6247
652
OptionProbability
197
149
OptionVotes
2118
472
Will Greg Abbott be elected president of the United States in 2028?
Jan 7, 3:36 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM
0.96%chance
71443
OptionVotes
1549
103
OptionProbability
45
17
11
8
7
7
6
Will Greg Brockman succeed Satya Nadella as CEO of Microsoft?
Nov 20, 2:26 PMNov 28, 4:59 AM
2.91%chance
5839
OptionVotes
383
25
OptionProbability
76
66
66
59
50
50
50
20
OptionVotes
124
80
Will Greg Yang have his own Grokipedia article by EOY2026?
Oct 28, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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