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Top stories

OpenAI Co-Founder Ilya Sutskever Named CEO of Safe Superintelligence After Meta Poaches CEO Daniel Gross in AI Talent War

OpenAI Co-Founder Ilya Sutskever Named CEO of Safe Superintelligence After Meta Poaches CEO Daniel Gross in AI Talent War

Authors

17

1 month ago

Prediction markets for Gross

Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' become the highest-grossing movie of all time?

Jan 9, 2:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

3212599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11344

572

Will a movie grossing >$3B be released by 2028?

Jan 23, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.57%chance

373170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

989

Will a game programmed in Jai gross more than $10,000,000 before 2033?

Sep 25, 12:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.54%chance

161317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

751

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear in a movie that grosses over $20M at the box office before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:47 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

18.39%chance

29941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

959

Will GDH (Gross Domestic Healthspan) overtake GDP in relevance/importance/attention by 2050?

May 11, 9:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.8%chance

36922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

908

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?

Mar 10, 2:33 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM

49.69%chance

12675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

293

212

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup gross more money than the 2022 FIFA World Cup (inflation adjusted)?

Aug 14, 3:31 AMDec 14, 4:59 AM

87.62%chance

15674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1395

908

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?

Jan 17, 5:10 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

14379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

957

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide than the original after one year of its release?

Sep 11, 4:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

39.04%chance

7174

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

88

Will gross world product in the year 2030 be at least 1 quadrillion USD?

Feb 5, 11:37 PMFeb 12, 11:59 PM

7.27%chance

476

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

100

Will Denzel Washington break his record of highest grossing film by EOY 2026? ($300M, Gladiator 2)

Dec 4, 8:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.41%chance

970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 4, 2025
Jul 4, 2025
AI
OpenAI Co-Founder Ilya Sutskever Named CEO of Safe Superintelligence After Meta Poaches CEO Daniel Gross in AI Talent War
Authors
17
1 month ago

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