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Prediction markets for Grover
Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?
Dec 10, 4:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
71671
OptionProbability
100
66
25
24
24
23
23
23
23
23
22
21
21
21
20
19
18
18
18
18
17
16
15
14
13
Will the 68th and 70th US Presidents be the same person?
Mar 20, 2:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2.55%chance
7554
OptionVotes
618
16
Will the 48th President of the United States be a member of the Democratic party?
Aug 8, 12:47 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM
51.1%chance
18538
OptionVotes
1107
868
Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)
Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
46.21%chance
5346
OptionVotes
1079
927
Will Grover's algorithm be used to mine Bitcoin before 5 years after RSA-2048 is factored?
May 6, 4:45 PMOct 13, 4:59 AM
15.65%chance
10259
OptionVotes
438
125
Best rate for Grover iterations on Bitcoin's Hash Function by EOY 2060
May 23, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
250
OptionProbability
72
66
59
50
41
41
34
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