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Prediction markets for Hathaway
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
230123790
OptionProbability
20
13
11
11
11
10
9
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM
5826767
OptionProbability
67
26
25
21
20
20
20
18
18
17
17
15
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?
Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6219845
OptionProbability
16
13
12
11
10
8
7
7
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which company will be among the top 5 publicly traded companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2030?
Mar 1, 7:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
379181
OptionProbability
94
89
84
73
40
37
30
28
26
17
13
11
7
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
97
97
94
92
91
90
88
87
85
85
82
80
74
71
65
55
26
25
12
9
💰If the first $10 Trillion dollar company is NOT Apple or Microsoft, which company will it be?
Mar 19, 2:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
645572
OptionProbability
32
27
20
12
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)
Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
21.81%chance
251285
OptionVotes
1230
913
Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027
Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM
5.63%chance
101087
OptionVotes
1541
900
How much will Berkshire Hathaway stock change from the day before Warren Buffett dies to the day after he dies?
Apr 2, 12:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
161046
OptionProbability
48
32
11
4
2
2
2
Will it be proven that Berkshire Hathaway was committing enormous systematic fraud by 2033?
Jan 18, 5:14 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
4.27%chance
12817
OptionVotes
1530
941
Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.05%chance
3260
OptionVotes
370
68
[Long Bet clone (854)] market cap of Berkshire Hathaway above Tesla on Warren Buffett's 100th birthday.
Apr 24, 11:13 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM
56.94%chance
225
OptionVotes
129
101
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