Horn News

“Manifold pro” or similar status w perks

Profile hats

Profile pic borders

Profile Hovercard borders

Leverage (loan) rate increases

Bonus streak forgiveness / freezes

Coolfold's Jester hat

Top hat

Crystal ball icon on pfp

Wizard hat

Cat ears

Stonks arrow (over pfp)

Monocle

Halo

Devil horns

Bull/Bear horns/ears

Cosmetic badges

Some kind of Whale design on pfp, or on hovercard, gated behind 1m all-time volume

Consumable market decorations

Additional site themes

A unique hat that can only be owned by one person but can be stolen

Fire-themed hovercard (requires Streak >100days to buy)

Profile page layout customization

Spoiler mode (hide current probabilities)

trader bonus multiplier

MtG mana color symbols

Create a clan / community / group

Consumable item that lets you highlight a comment

Custom league cohort packs for inviting friends to compete

Extra predictle sets

Access to detailed Predictle stats (eg of past games, or of other players' performance)

Boost discounts (limited purchase, e.g. 2/ mo)

Discord perks

2035

2032

2030

2029

2028

A model is publicly released which scores >45% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-4 for an internally or externally deployed model

METR or an equivalently credible organization judges that a tested AI system (not necessarily released) is “self-sustaining,” capable in principle to “autonomously operate indefinitely, acquire resources, and defend its existence”

A model is publicly released which scores >65% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

The US unemployment rate exceeds 10% for any reason

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-5 for an internally or externally deployed model

US Real GDP growth rate exceeds 6% (annualized) for two consecutive quarters, attributed primarily to AI

YES

Economics

Physics

Math

Computer Science

4 +

3

0–1

YES

YES

YES

NO

Other

Horns headband