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Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title

1 year ago

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

5.22%chance

11227401742

OptionVotes

YES

6749

2110

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.56%chance

8164171923

OptionVotes

YES

3575

1811

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.13%chance

34822801045

OptionVotes

YES

10841

8706

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

7.95%chance

4791716858

OptionVotes

YES

4948

1796

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.35%chance

210282771

OptionVotes

YES

4387

1304

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.3%chance

472128590

OptionVotes

YES

11108

10626

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

74.19%chance

10536810

OptionVotes

YES

16953

5899

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.43%chance

4522705

OptionVotes

YES

11182

8943

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

Feb 8, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.93%chance

7014663

OptionVotes

YES

14553

6871

Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

28.58%chance

42706

OptionVotes

YES

12128

9013

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Jun 14, 1:40 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

35.35%chance

7876

OptionVotes

YES

10313

9761

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Sports
Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title
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Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

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