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Prediction markets for Hu
OptionVotes
10588
1949
OptionVotes
3663
1798
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
64.82%chance
34302736433
OptionVotes
12745
7678
OptionVotes
6263
1698
Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
11%chance
316855080
OptionVotes
7687
3517
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60%chance
463382160
OptionVotes
3693
1551
OptionVotes
4175
1332
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
48.38%chance
41490292
OptionVotes
11522
10209
AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?
Jul 17, 3:17 PMJul 18, 3:59 AM
15%chance
13758456
OptionVotes
2333
1409
OptionProbability
47
26
14
12
OptionProbability
29
28
13
7
7
5
4
3
2
1
Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?
Aug 21, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.23%chance
2441
OptionVotes
145
69
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