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Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title

10 months ago

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

5%chance

11057283195

OptionVotes

YES

7014

2095

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.88%chance

8144171116

OptionVotes

YES

3503

1823

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.65%chance

34742790719

OptionVotes

YES

10533

8988

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

7.79%chance

4761716626

OptionVotes

YES

5033

1788

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

42.67%chance

556467615

OptionVotes

YES

2818

2386

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.52%chance

209282721

OptionVotes

YES

4337

1310

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.31%chance

471128587

OptionVotes

YES

11105

10629

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

71.68%chance

10535790

OptionVotes

YES

15911

6285

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.08%chance

3315660

OptionVotes

YES

12750

7843

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

Feb 8, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.93%chance

7014663

OptionVotes

YES

14553

6871

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

785173

OptionProbability

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

None of the above before 2029

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
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Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title
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Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

What will happen to Hugging Face?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

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