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Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title

1 year ago

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

4%chance

11097329200

OptionVotes

YES

8555

2023

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.52%chance

8154171722

OptionVotes

YES

3835

1773

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.81%chance

34782796726

OptionVotes

YES

10702

8831

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

8.17%chance

4791716710

OptionVotes

YES

4829

1806

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.87%chance

563470419

OptionVotes

YES

3104

2046

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.52%chance

209282721

OptionVotes

YES

4337

1310

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.3%chance

472128590

OptionVotes

YES

11108

10626

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

74.06%chance

10536790

OptionVotes

YES

16896

5918

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.98%chance

4119797

OptionVotes

YES

11757

8506

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

Feb 8, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.93%chance

7014663

OptionVotes

YES

14553

6871

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8014586

OptionProbability

None of the above before 2029

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
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Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title
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Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

What will happen to Hugging Face?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

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