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Prediction markets for Jeanne Calment
At the beginning of 2032, will Jeanne Calment's record for longest documented lifespan (122 years and 164 days) still hold?
Dec 13, 9:00 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
90.59%chance
436175
OptionVotes
1960
616
OptionProbability
56
53
52
51
50
49
47
35
20
13
9
0
0
By the end of 2043, will the world record for oldest living person ever be beaten by 5 years?
Sep 25, 3:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
35.41%chance
272233
OptionVotes
995
977
Will anyone currently living be verified as 120 years old by 2030?
Feb 12, 2:13 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM
23.74%chance
142221
OptionVotes
4420
2320
Is Jeanne Calment's longevity record of 122 years and 164 days accurate?
Dec 16, 5:41 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
38.81%chance
311470
OptionVotes
1141
867
Will anyone beat Jeanne Calment's record of 122 years, 164 days by the beginning of 2040?
Aug 29, 8:46 PMSep 6, 6:59 AM
54.15%chance
30989
OptionVotes
1108
891
OptionProbability
47
19
15
14
4
Will anyone other than Jeanne Calment reach 120 years of age before 2030?
Oct 20, 11:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
19.06%chance
12317
OptionVotes
372
77
By the end of 2053, will the world record for oldest living person ever be beaten by 5 years?
Sep 28, 6:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
51.07%chance
10216
OptionVotes
150
149
By the end of 2063, will the world record for oldest living person ever be beaten by 5 years?
Sep 28, 6:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
76.46%chance
9142
OptionVotes
239
106
Will Jeanne Calment's longevity record be broken one day before 2040?
Aug 15, 7:49 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
66.64%chance
483
OptionVotes
99
50
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