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Prediction markets for Kelly
OptionProbability
26
14
14
12
5
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
19
14
10
9
9
9
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
18
15
14
9
8
7
5
4
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
23
18
13
10
8
8
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
43
14
10
8
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
2923
1370
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM
225114087
OptionProbability
19
14
12
11
10
6
6
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
2508
1587
Will this Democratic ticket win the 2028 Presidential Election?: Mark Kelly-Gretchen Whitmer
Dec 27, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9%chance
9556
OptionVotes
318
31
OptionProbability
211
129
When will Mark Kelly announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Jan 19, 5:32 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
8373
OptionProbability
67
34
34
22
20
17
15
0
0
0
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