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Prediction markets for Lai
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 12, 3:28 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
5212503
OptionProbability
64
12
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which countries will William Lai Ching-te visit as President of Taiwan (Republic of China)?
Apr 8, 8:24 AMMay 31, 3:59 PM
5718
OptionProbability
76
76
74
65
59
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
41
41
41
41
34
34
34
34
Will Robin Hanson have ridden a batmobile, laid an egg, and made Joker run away by 2030?
Sep 11, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.11%chance
6694
OptionVotes
763
50
Will a TPOT person get laid live on an X stream by 2069?
Aug 27, 8:17 PMSep 3, 8:59 PM
55.02%chance
9315
OptionVotes
208
125
OptionProbability
196
101
Will Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te visit Kinmen or Matsu between January 2026 and April 2028?
Jan 5, 6:42 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
50%chance
2122
OptionVotes
100
100
Will Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?
Oct 21, 6:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
84.88%chance
3108
OptionVotes
198
49
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Lai Ching-te be re-elected?
Jan 14, 3:25 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
35%chance
593
OptionVotes
98
48
OptionVotes
160
62
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Hsiao Bi-khim try to primary Lai Ching-te in 2027?
Jan 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
25.71%chance
135
OptionVotes
105
49
OptionVotes
132
76
Conditional on both sides agreeing to engage, what are the odds the lair can keep a fish alive longer than Zane can?
Dec 18, 5:49 PMDec 18, 5:41 PM
120
OptionProbability
51
16
16
16
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