OptionProbability
Mojtaba Khamenei
Other
Reza Pahlavi
No Head Of State
Hassan Rouhani
Masoud Pezeshkian
Alireza Arafi
Hassan Khomeini
Sadegh Larijani
Maryam Rajavi
Ali Larijani
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
Abbas Araghchi
Ahmad Vahidi
Mohammad Khatami
Ali Asghar Hejazi
Donald Trump
Hassan Shariatmadari
Marco Rubio
30
28
16
5
4
3
1
0
Hassan Khomenei
Sadiq Larijani
Mohsen Araki
Mohammad Reza Aref
Ali Khamenei
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i
38
34
10
2
Hashem Hosseini Bushehri
Ongoing “interim” arrangement / power-sharing structure.
No one (regime change, system change) = no Supreme Leader
Power struggle between 1 or more that sees rival Supreme Leaders both with actually realistic claims (based on authority/endorsements by senior clerics and religious figures etc).
Ari Larijani
35
20
12
11
7
OptionVotes
NO
YES
130
77
125
80
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