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Luís Carlos News

    Prediction markets for Luís Carlos

    OptionProbability

    Lando Norris (McLaren)

    Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

    Oscar Piastri (McLaren)

    Yuki Tsunoda (Previously Liam Lawson) (Red Bull)

    George Russel (Mercedes)

    Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)

    Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

    Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)

    Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)

    Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)

    Pierre Gasly (Alpine)

    Jack Doohan (Alpine)

    Alexander Albon (Williams)

    Carlos Sainz Jr. (Williams)

    Liam Lawson (Previously Yuki Tsunoda) (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)

    Isack Hadjar (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)

    Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber/Stake)

    Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber/Stake)

    Esteban Ocon (Haas)

    Ollie Bearman (Haas)

    73

    26

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

    Jan 2, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    37778077

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    Other

    Jensen Huang

    Larry Ellison

    Jeff Bezos

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Sam Altman

    Bernard Arnault

    Larry Page

    Satoshi Nakamoto

    Vladimir Putin

    Sergey Brin

    Vitalik Buterin

    Donald Trump

    Michael Saylor

    Bill Gates

    Warren Buffett

    me

    Steve Ballmer

    Gautam Adani

    Mukesh Ambani

    An AGI

    Brian Armstrong

    Changpeng “CZ” Zhao

    Tim Draper

    Jack Dorsey

    Winklevoss Tyler/Cameron

    @Mira

    Michael Dell

    Amancio Ortega

    Carlos Slim Helu

    Eric Schmidt

    Masayoshi Son

    Dave Tepper

    Ken Griffin

    Eduardo Saverin

    Morris Chang

    35

    28

    12

    5

    3

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner

    🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz

    Aryna Sabalenka

    🇵🇱 Iga Świątek

    Mirra Andreeva

    🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

    🇺🇸 Amanda Anisimova

    🇺🇸 Taylor Fritz

    🇺🇸 Madison Keys

    🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

    🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic

    91

    90

    77

    75

    44

    42

    27

    18

    13

    9

    8

    OptionProbability

    Max Verstappen

    Isack Hadjar

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Liam Lawson

    Daniel Ricciardo

    Sergio Perez

    Carlos Sainz

    91

    91

    14

    12

    2

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Isaac del Toro

    Florian Lipowitz

    Joao Almeida

    Juan Ayuso

    Paul Seixas

    Oscar Onley

    Pablo Torres

    Antonio Tiberi

    Mattias Skjelmose

    Felix Gall

    Thymen Arensman

    Carlos Rodriguez

    Cian Uijtdebroeks

    Joseph Blackmore

    Ben O'Connor

    66

    65

    61

    54

    51

    41

    26

    22

    20

    20

    16

    15

    15

    10

    9

    2026 Australian Open - Men’s singles winner?

    Jan 28, 2:17 AMFeb 1, 7:59 PM
    141687

    OptionProbability

    🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner

    🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz

    Other

    🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic

    🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

    🇺🇸 Taylor Fritz

    🇳🇴 Casper Ruud

    43

    39

    9

    4

    3

    2

    0

    OptionProbability

    Grover Project w/ Or

    [James's system of equations for multichoice mechanism versions](https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/solve-these-equations-for-a-simpler#pcfde0bgc1)

    Formalizing "Categorical Composable Cryptography"

    SNARK project w/ Sanjam

    Data availability phase changes

    `nazg`: Proving Ring Equalities Done Wrong

    Post-quantum backdoorable VDFs

    Iuvenes Project w/ Or

    Mechanism design to incentivize `mathlib` contribution

    Optimal sampling for statistical democracy w/ Surya

    Formal Proof for Marlin w/ Pratyush

    Eigenlayer Project w/ Or

    NeRF the world

    TEE via physics/materials science w/ Sylvain

    Krugman's Interstellar trade redux

    Solving Hanabi

    Automated Market Maker Monte Carlo w/ @EvanDaniel

    Quantum cowry shells

    range saturation tactic

    Mixing for slow traders

    Homotopy theory DeFi

    Violating classical consensus impossibility results with quantum

    Poisson average-case TSP

    Efficient polynomial multiplication for mathlib

    Paradoxical hiding in ROM

    100

    66

    25

    24

    24

    23

    23

    23

    23

    23

    22

    21

    21

    21

    20

    19

    18

    18

    18

    18

    17

    16

    15

    14

    13

    Who will win Peru's 2026 presidential election?

    Jul 7, 6:50 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM
    71563

    OptionProbability

    Rafael López Aliaga

    Keiko Fujimori

    Other

    Carlos Álvarez

    Phillip Butters

    Alfonso López Chau

    César Acuña

    Alfredo Barnechea

    Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

    Verónika Mendoza

    Antauro Humala

    Pedro Castillo

    Hernán Garrido Lecca

    Hernando de Soto

    28

    19

    16

    7

    5

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Don Mattingly

    Fernando Valenzuela

    Carlos Delgado

    Jeff Kent

    Dale Murphy

    Gary Sheffield

    None of the above

    Roger Clemens

    Barry Bonds

    66

    64

    32

    32

    32

    32

    32

    31

    28

    OptionProbability

    Novak Djokovic

    Tie

    Carlos Alcaraz

    49

    31

    21

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