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Prediction markets for Macron
OptionProbability
48
13
11
9
5
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
4.1%chance
9934619
OptionVotes
3768
661
Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
2.87%chance
355108
OptionVotes
3349
832
Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
May 12, 1:59 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
11.62%chance
243987
OptionVotes
1279
930
Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Dec 2, 6:45 PMJun 1, 9:59 PM
5.35%chance
233525
OptionVotes
2333
348
If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Mar 27, 1:43 PMJul 1, 2:59 AM
71.49%chance
303521
OptionVotes
1154
894
Will Emmanuel Macron publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Mar 19, 12:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
14.39%chance
16941
OptionVotes
508
161
Will Darmanin be the candidate supported by Macron in the French presidential elections of 2027?
Dec 16, 5:31 AMApr 9, 3:59 AM
3.3%chance
9827
OptionVotes
631
40
Macron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Jan 2, 3:10 PMMar 31, 1:00 PM
7.2%chance
11816
OptionVotes
102
69
Will Macron begin a third term as President of France before 2038?
Jul 4, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.88%chance
9416
OptionVotes
260
38
OptionVotes
317
32
OptionVotes
138
72
Latest stories
Latest stories
- Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs UkraineAuthors161 year ago
