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Prediction markets for Macron
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
3.1%chance
8225584
OptionVotes
4756
624
OptionProbability
23
22
15
10
6
6
6
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4.53%chance
293929
OptionVotes
2190
875
Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
May 12, 1:59 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
14.81%chance
223794
OptionVotes
1009
971
If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Mar 27, 1:43 PMJul 1, 2:59 AM
66.11%chance
252643
OptionVotes
978
974
OptionVotes
386
26
Will Macron's english wikipedia article mention the 2025 apparent domestic violence incident by mid 2026
Jun 2, 6:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
35.42%chance
14687
OptionVotes
1350
741
Will Emmanuel Macron publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Mar 19, 12:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
28.79%chance
9374
OptionVotes
276
209
OptionProbability
210
209
Will Darmanin be the candidate supported by Macron in the French presidential elections of 2027?
Dec 16, 5:31 AMApr 9, 3:59 AM
12.8%chance
4181
OptionVotes
245
67
France changes Prime Minister before Macron's term ends?
May 29, 6:13 AMMay 1, 3:59 AM
72.93%chance
789
OptionVotes
164
61
Will Michael Trazzi and Emmanuel Macron get to meet by EOY2028?
Feb 17, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29.39%chance
355
OptionVotes
155
65
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