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🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 13, 5:48 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM
11619288
OptionProbability
98
96
96
95
94
94
93
93
92
91
90
89
87
87
87
85
82
82
82
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
72
72
72
72
70
69
69
68
65
65
64
63
63
63
62
62
61
60
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
58
57
57
57
56
56
56
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
45
45
43
43
43
43
40
40
39
37
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
34
32
32
29
28
25
24
22
21
20
17
16
16
9
8
6
6
6
Will Jon Stewart, Bill Maher, or John Oliver ever run for president?
Oct 12, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
7.9%chance
363701
OptionVotes
2891
631
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
90
90
89
77
70
59
57
50
50
50
50
50
38
34
34
25
17
13
Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.
Sep 19, 8:38 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM
15544
OptionProbability
93
71
64
58
52
18