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Top stories

Diamondbacks Rally Around Marte After Unapproved Absence Sparks Backlash

Diamondbacks Rally Around Marte After Unapproved Absence Sparks Backlash

Authors

8

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Marte

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Nov 12, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.04%chance

4852336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3129

336

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

39.77%chance

9219446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2552

1512

Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?

Jan 20, 1:18 AMNov 4, 2:00 AM

17.98%chance

5610487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2136

468

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

88.12%chance

566365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2074

1119

Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM

52.42%chance

936218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

714

Will there be a martian colony by 2050?

Dec 23, 10:35 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

38.62%chance

805971

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1384

1384

Martial Law declared in USA by end of 2028?

Mar 23, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.17%chance

525469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1989

503

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66%chance

532756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

901

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

39.53%chance

161155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

809

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.67%chance

17499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

920

Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030?

Apr 5, 2:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

40.18%chance

11335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

958

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Jul 8, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.45%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Latest stories

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
MLB
Arizona
Sports
Diamondbacks Rally Around Marte After Unapproved Absence Sparks Backlash
Authors
8
6 months ago

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