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Mason News

    Prediction markets for Mason

    Who will attend the 2026 Science Olympiad National Tournament [Division C]?

    Feb 18, 5:31 PMMay 22, 9:00 AM
    4661676

    OptionProbability

    Montgomery H.S. (Skillman, NJ)

    'Iolani School (Honolulu, HI)

    TJHSST (Alexandria, VA)

    Stuyvesant H.S. (New York, NY)

    Baton Rouge Magnet H.S. (Baton Rouge, LA)

    Charter School of Wilmington (Wilmington, DE)

    BASIS Washington, D.C. (Washington, DC)

    Morgantown H.S. (Morgantown, WV)

    Clinton H.S. (Clinton, SC)

    Hamilton H.S. (Hamilton, MT)

    Bentonville West H.S. (Centerton, AR)

    Acton-Boxborough Regional H.S. (Acton, MA)

    Mounds View H.S. (Arden Hills, MN)

    Great Neck South H.S. (Great Neck, NY)

    James Clemens H.S. (Huntsville, AL)

    Socorro High School (Socorro, NM)

    Sunset High School (Portland, OR)

    New Trier H.S. (Winnetka, IL)

    Barrington H.S. (Barrington, RI)

    Troy H.S. (Fullerton, CA-S)

    William G. Enloe H.S. (Raleigh, NC)

    duPont Manual H.S. (Louisville, KY)

    South Windsor H.S. (South Windsor, CT)

    Seven Lakes H.S. (Katy, TX)

    Harriton H.S. (Rosemont, PA)

    Mason H.S. (Mason, OH)

    Adlai E. Stevenson H.S. (Lincolnshire, IL)

    Centennial H.S. (Ellicott City, MD)

    NCSSM (Durham, NC)

    Casady School (Oklahoma City, OK)

    Novi H.S. (Novi, MI)

    Solon H.S. (Solon, OH)

    Madison West H.S. (Madison, WI)

    Oakton H.S. (Vienna, VA)

    Kelly Walsh H.S. (Casper, WY)

    Marquette University H.S. (Milwaukee, WI)

    Ames H.S. (Ames, IA)

    Boca Raton Community H.S. (Boca Raton, FL)

    BASIS Chandler (Chandler, AZ)

    Fulton Science Academy (Alpharetta, GA)

    Yankton H.S. (Yankton, SD)

    Pioneer H.S. (Ann Arbor, MI)

    Ladue Horton Watkins H.S. (St. Louis, MO)

    Walton H.S. (Marietta, GA)

    Ed W. Clark H.S. (Las Vegas, NV)

    Carmel H.S. (Carmel, IN)

    Lincoln Science Focus Program H.S. (Lincoln, NE)

    Monta Vista H.S. (Cupertino, CA-N)

    Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH)

    Liberal Arts and Science Academy (Austin, TX)

    The Frazer School (Gainesville, FL)

    Tesla STEM H.S. (Redmond, WA)

    Waterford School (Sandy, UT)

    Falmouth H.S. (Falmouth, ME)

    Century H.S. (Bismarck, ND)

    Fossil Ridge H.S. (Fort Collins, CO)

    White Station H.S. (Memphis, TN)

    West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. North (Plainsboro, NJ)

    Cumberland Valley H.S. (Mechanicsburg, PA)

    Lower Merion H.S. (Ardmore, PA)

    Blue Valley West H.S. (Overland Park, KS)

    Homeschool Science Colorado (Colorado Springs, CO)

    Ravenwood H.S. (Brentwood, TN)

    Pembroke Hill School (Kansas City, MO)

    Waynflete School (Portland, ME)

    Parklane Academy (McComb, MS)

    Advanced Technologies Academy (Las Vegas, NV)

    Mountain View H.S. (Mountain View, CA-N)

    Jordan H.S. (Fulshear, TX)

    Burr and Burton Academy (Manchester, VT)

    Chattahoochee H.S. (Johns Creek, GA)

    Blue Valley North H.S. (Overland Park, KS)

    West H.S. (Salt Lake City, UT)

    Bismarck H.S. (Bismarck, ND)

    Archimedean Upper Conservatory (Miami, FL)

    Munster H.S. (Munster, IN)

    Lebanon H.S. (Lebanon, NH)

    Troy H.S. (Troy, MI)

    Northville H.S. (Northville, MI)

    Brookwood H.S. (Snellville, GA)

    Olathe North H.S. (Olathe, KS)

    Nampa H.S. (Nampa, ID)

    Madison Central H.S. (Madison, MS)

    James S. Rickards H.S. (Tallahassee, FL)

    Davidson Academy (Reno, NV)

    Northridge H.S. (Middlebury, IN)

    Interlake H.S. (Bellevue, WA)

    Camas H.S. (Camas, WA)

    Bothell H.S. (Bothell, WA)

    Richard Montgomery H.S. (Rockville, MD)

    Montgomery Blair H.S. (Silver Spring, MD)

    Castro Valley H.S. (Castro Valley, CA-N)

    Adrian's Barbershop (Woburn, MA)

    Lexington H.S. (Lexington, MA)

    Syosset H.S. (Syosset, NY)

    C.G. Woodson H.S. (Fairfax, VA)

    Eagan H.S. (Eagan, MN)

    Jesuit H.S. (Portland, OR)

    Alabama School of Fine Arts (Birmingham, AL)

    La Cueva H.S. (Albuquerque, NM)

    West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. South (West Windsor, NJ)

    Ward Melville H.S. (East Setauket, NY)

    Jericho H.S. (Jericho, NY)

    Westview H.S. (Portland, OR)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

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    100

    100

    100

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    100

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    98

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    67

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    64

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    61

    59

    55

    55

    53

    53

    52

    50

    49

    45

    43

    40

    38

    37

    37

    36

    35

    34

    33

    31

    31

    31

    28

    28

    26

    23

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    18

    16

    15

    14

    13

    11

    9

    6

    5

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be selected for England’s final 26-man squad for the 2026 World Cup?

    Jul 24, 4:32 PMJun 10, 10:59 PM
    917058

    OptionProbability

    Jordan Pickford

    Harry Kane

    Bukayo Saka

    Jude Bellingham

    Phil Foden

    Cole Palmer

    Declan Rice

    Marc Guehi

    Dean Henderson

    Elliot Anderson

    Eberechi Eze

    Morgan Rogers

    Anthony Gordon

    John Stones

    Ezri Konsa

    Noni Madueke

    Myles Lewis-Skelly

    Reece James

    Adam Wharton

    Ollie Watkins

    Nick Pope

    James Trafford

    Levi Colwill

    Marcus Rashford

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

    Conor Gallagher

    Ben White

    Dominic Solanke

    Gibbs-White

    Curtis Jones

    Jarrad Branthwaite

    Valentino Livramento

    Jarrod Bowen

    Lewis Hall

    Kobbie Mainoo

    Jordan Henderson

    Liam Delap

    Ivan Toney

    Harry Maguire

    Aaron Ramsdale

    Dan Burn

    Rico Lewis

    Luke Shaw

    Ethan Nwaneri

    Trevoh Chalobah

    Harvey Elliott

    Jarell Quansah

    Jack Grealish

    Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens

    Ben Chilwell

    Joe Gomez

    Angel Gomes

    James Maddison

    Mason Mount

    James McAtee

    Jobe Bellingham

    Archie Gray

    Tyrick Mitchell

    Tyler Dibling

    Michael Cooper

    Jacob Ramsey

    Kyle Walker

    Harvey Barnes

    Harwood-Bellis

    Alex Scott

    Callum Hudson-Odoi

    Djed Spence

    Max Kilman

    Sam Johnstone

    James Beadle

    Callum Wilson

    Lewis Dunk

    Edward Nketiah

    Jadon Sancho

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

    Omari Giraud-Hutchinson

    Jack Hinshelwood

    Tyrone Mings

    Ross Barkley

    Rico Henry

    Leif Davis

    Keane Lewis-Potter

    Adam Webster

    James Ward-Prowse

    Tosin Adarabioyo

    Lewis Cook

    Joseph Willock

    Charlie Cresswell

    Emile Smith-Rowe

    92

    92

    90

    88

    82

    82

    79

    79

    74

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    71

    70

    70

    62

    62

    60

    59

    56

    55

    55

    55

    54

    52

    50

    48

    45

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    34

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    29

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    3

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    3

    2

    Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks

    Mar 8, 12:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    3514385

    OptionProbability

    Jalen Hurts

    Sam Darnold

    Josh Allen

    Drake Maye

    Lamar Jackson

    Jayden Daniels

    Brock Purdy

    Jared Goff

    Jordan Love

    Bo Nix

    Caleb Williams

    Cam Ward

    Joe Burrow

    Justin Herbert

    Baker Mayfield

    Jaxson Dart

    Trevor Lawrence

    C.J. Stroud

    Bryce Young

    Kyler Murray

    Michael Penix Jr.

    J.J. McCarthy

    Tua Tagovailoa

    Anthony Richardson

    Dak Prescott

    Justin Fields

    Will Levis

    Daniel Jones

    Kirk Cousins

    Shedeur Sanders

    Mac Jones

    Bailey Zappe

    Sam Howell

    Jake Browning

    Zach Wilson

    Gartner Minshew

    Jarrett Stidham

    Blaine Gabbert

    Aiden O'Connell

    Desmond Ridder

    Jameis Winston

    Tyler Huntley

    DeShaun Watson

    Kenny Pickett

    Tyrod Taylor

    Nick Mullens

    Joshua Doubs

    Mason Rudolph

    Jimmy Garoppolo

    Case Keenum

    Ryan Tannehill

    Andy Dalton

    P.J. Walker

    100

    100

    56

    47

    46

    43

    37

    35

    31

    29

    27

    26

    25

    25

    22

    22

    20

    16

    15

    15

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    11

    11

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    9

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    8

    7

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    3

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    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    0

    Anaheim Ducks Predictions (NHL)

    Oct 15, 7:00 AMApr 20, 9:20 PM
    118486

    OptionProbability

    Lukas Dostal play more games than John Gibson?

    Any Ducks defenseman score 40+ points this season?

    Ducks change name or relocate before 2040

    Ducks win Stanley Cup by end of 2030-31 season

    Any Ducks player win a league-wide individual award in 2024-25?

    Leo Carlsson gain 50+ points?

    Trevor Zegras gain 65+ points?

    Cutter Gauthier score 30+ goals?

    Mason McTavish score 25+ goals?

    Ducks' power play percentage 18% this season?

    Ducks win more than 35 games this season?

    Ducks make 2024-25 Playoffs

    100

    100

    58

    38

    6

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will win the 2026 Science Olympiad National Tournament [Division C]?

    Nov 27, 8:09 PMMay 23, 10:59 PM
    297679

    OptionProbability

    Troy H.S. (Fullerton, CA)

    Monta Vista H.S. (Cupertino, CA)

    Montgomery H.S. (Skillman, NJ)

    Mason H.S. (Mason, OH)

    Mountain View H.S. (Mountain View, CA)

    Seven Lakes H.S. (Katy, TX)

    Harriton H.S. (Rosemont, PA)

    Solon H.S. (Solon, OH)

    New Trier H.S. (Winnetka, IL)

    Madison West H.S. (Madison, WI)

    Marquette University H.S. (Milwaukee, WI)

    'Iolani School (Honolulu, HI)

    Novi H.S. (Novi, MI)

    Acton-Boxborough Regional H.S. (Acton, MA)

    West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. South (West Windsor, NJ)

    Other

    Lexington H.S. (Lexington, MA)

    Pioneer H.S. (Ann Arbor, MI)

    Liberal Arts and Science Academy (Austin, TX)

    Castro Valley H.S. (Castro Valley, CA)

    39

    12

    12

    9

    9

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

    Jan 9, 6:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    60.32%chance
    343263

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1102

    779

    Will Mason Greenwood play in the Premier League again?

    Feb 2, 5:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    30.55%chance
    182450

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1429

    708

    Who will attend the 2026 Science Olympiad National Competition? [Division C]

    Dec 15, 10:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    81364

    OptionProbability

    Troy H.S. Fullerton, CA-S

    Harriton H.S. Bryn Mawr, PA

    Montgomery H.S. Skillman, NJ

    Mason H.S. Mason, OH

    Syosset H.S. Syosset, NY

    New Trier H.S. Winnetka, IL

    Monta Vista H.S. Cupertino, CA-N

    Solon H.S. Solon, OH

    Marquette University H.S. Milwaukee, WI

    Other

    67

    6

    5

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    1

    Who will win the NAQT Quizbowl Intercollegiate Championship Tournament (ICT) DII 2026?

    Feb 18, 7:48 PMApr 11, 11:59 PM
    7319

    OptionProbability

    Columbia

    MIT

    UCLA

    NYU

    George Mason

    Texas

    Other

    Swarthmore

    Guelph

    UC Berkeley

    Duke

    Virginia

    Georgia Tech

    Auburn

    Queen's

    Michigan

    Purdue

    Chicago

    Illinois

    Carleton

    24

    21

    7

    7

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)

    Dec 10, 9:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
    8280

    OptionProbability

    He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026

    Will he have a child by mid 2026? Best wishes to him and his family

    He writes a book which appears on the nytimes bestseller list by mid 2029

    He joins George Mason University by mid 2026

    He spends at least a year overseas by mid 2029

    He wins a Nobel prize by mid 2036

    He joins Manifold and is verified by mid 2026

    He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2024

    He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2025

    He retires from academic life by mid 2024

    Harvard withdraws or softens the results of the investigations which found against him by mid 2025

    Harvard apologizes for the claims against him and admits they were without merit by mid 2025

    64

    57

    44

    33

    31

    24

    24

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will mason, Jose Luis Ricon, Evan Lin, Henry Bass, adic_9, janus/repligate all get to live in a treehouse by 2027?

    Jul 27, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    39.31%chance
    125

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    124

    80

    Will Abdullah Mason have at least one successful title defense?

    Dec 8, 9:40 PMDec 8, 9:34 PM
    50%chance
    00

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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