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Prediction markets for Newton
OptionProbability
55
25
5
2
2
1
1
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1
1
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1
0
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Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?
Jan 14, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
27.61%chance
7316505
OptionVotes
1006
929
OptionProbability
11
10
10
4
4
3
3
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3
3
3
2
2
2
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2
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2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
95
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41
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34
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32
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24
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17
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14
OptionVotes
1794
557
OptionProbability
91
82
68
59
43
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41
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41
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41
37
34
34
34
31
25
24
24
22
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13
13
12
10
10
9
9
Before 2030, will we learn that a major discovery in physics had been made before 2023, but intentionally kept secret?
Nov 18, 11:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
7%chance
11565
OptionVotes
1459
916
Who in the Forbes 30 Under 30 2025 list will be charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?
Dec 14, 6:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
257
OptionProbability
37
37
37
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OptionProbability
88
66
50
50
50
50
OptionProbability
132
76
Will Countryside Elementary School finish construction by Jan 2027?
Jun 25, 7:05 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
47.71%chance
219
OptionVotes
105
96
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