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Noel News

    Prediction markets for Noel

    Which case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?

    Nov 24, 4:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
    217451

    OptionProbability

    Bowers v. Hardwick

    Humphrey's Executor v. United States

    The Slaughter House Cases

    Locke v. Davey

    Carey v. Population Services International (Might be N/A'ed. See Below)

    Brown v. Entertainment Merchants Association

    Employment Division v. Smith

    Morrison v. Olson

    The Insular Cases

    Hill v. Colorado

    Kennedy v. Louisiana

    Arizona v. United States

    Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the restrictions on the distribution of contraceptives)

    Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the advertisement of contraceptives)

    Nixon v. General Services Administration

    Plyler v. Doe

    New York Times v. Sullivan

    Texas v. Johnson

    United States v. Wong Kim Ark (see note in comments)

    Mapp v. Ohio

    Jacobson v. Massachusetts

    Bivens v. Six Unknown Named Agents

    NLRB v. Noel Canning

    United States v. Nixon

    Griswold v. Connecticut

    Gideon v. Wainwright

    Miranda v. Arizona

    Reynolds v. Sims

    Romer v. Evans

    Ex parte Young

    Lawrence v. Texas

    Obergefell v. Hodges

    Batson v. Kentucky

    Loving v. Virginia

    100

    95

    50

    48

    46

    45

    35

    35

    34

    31

    31

    30

    28

    28

    27

    27

    22

    20

    17

    16

    15

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    6

    6

    6

    5

    3

    2

    [Hololive 3rd Generation] Which talent will leave Hololive last?

    Jan 23, 9:39 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    130

    OptionProbability

    Houshou Marine

    Usada Pekora

    Shiranui Flare

    Shirogane Noel

    42

    23

    17

    17

    Which of the current hosts of the Great British Baking Show will leave first?

    Nov 28, 7:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    320

    OptionProbability

    Paul Hollywood

    Noel Fielding

    Prue Leith

    Alison Hammond

    34

    27

    24

    16

    Who will win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

    Oct 28, 1:28 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM
    110

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Noel Thomas (Independent Ireland)

    Seán Kyne (Fine Gael)

    Ollie Crowe (Fianna Fáil)

    Eamon Ó Cúiv (Fianna Fáil)

    Mike Cubbard (Independent)

    Eddie Hoare (Fine Gael)

    Declan Ganley (Independent)

    19

    17

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

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