OptionProbability
[AUS] A Driver DNF due to reliability problems (e.g., engine, power unit etc.)
[AUS] Red flag during qualifying
[AUS] At least 3 DNF
[AUS] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[TEST] Cadillac sets the slowest lap time of the whole testing session
[AUS] P1 & P2 by same team
[AUS] winner has no WDC title
[AUS] Audi reaches Q2 (Qualifying)
[AUS] Ferrari finishes on the podium
[AUS] An Audi driver finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUS] Verstappen finishes in top 10 (race)
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap Sprint
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap main race
[CHN] Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main qualifying
[CHN] VSC or Physical Safety car during the sprint race
[CHN] A Ferrari is P1 at the end of lap 1 (main race)
[CHN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] 5 or more DNF in the main race
[JAP] Physical Safety Car during the race
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes or Ferrari gets a podium
[JAP] Antonelli wins the race
[MIA] Non-Mercedes pole position in sprint qualifying
[MIA] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race
[MIA] Leclerc podium in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes finishes outside the top 5 in the sprint race
[MIA] Gasly reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Antonelli wins the main race
[MIA] A McLaren on the podium in the main race
[MIA] Race start time is changed or cancelled due to weather conditions
[CAN] Three different teams on the podium (main race)
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint qualifying
[CAN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the sprint race
[CAN] 5 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] An Alpine finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton finishes on podium in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton outfinishes Verstappen (main race)
[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race
[MON] Red flag during qualifying
[MON] Red flag during the race
[MON] A driver overtakes their teammate on track
[MON] Safety car (non-virtual) during the race
[MON] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[MON] Three different teams on the podium
[MON] Hadjar finishes in top 5 (race)
[MON] A Williams scores points (top 10)
[MON] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] An Audi reaches Q3
[BAR] Hamilton on the podium
[BAR] Verstappen finishes in top 5
[BAR] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] At least one driver that finishes in top 5 does 3 pit stops (or more)
[BAR] At least one podium finisher from team other than Ferrari or Mercedes
[AUT] Qualifying lap invalidated due to track limits
[AUT] Both Ferraris in top 5 in qualifying
[AUT] Both Racing Bulls finish in top 10 (race)
[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[GBR] Sprint race is won by a driver ranked top-8 in the championship
[GBR] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[GBR] Both Ferraris in top 4 in the main qualifying
[GBR] Both Ferraris finish the main race in top 4
[GBR] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (main race)
[GBR] Both Racing Bulls finish the main race in top 10
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel gap within 10 seconds at the end of the main race
[SPA] Red flag in qualifying
[SPA] Antonelli wins the race
[SPA] An Audi reaches Q3
[SPA] Physical Safety Car during the race
[SPA] A Ferrari on the podium
[SPA] Hadjar finishes the race in top 10
[SPA] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[SPA] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[HUN] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[HUN] An Aston Martin reaches Q2
[HUN] An Audi reaches Q3
[HUN] Russel qualifies outside the top 4
[HUN] Antonelli on the podium
[HUN] Hulkenberg finishes the race in top 10
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls finish the race in top 10
Leave it open for the upcoming GP
[AUS] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUS] Yellow flag first lap
[AUS] Both Aston Martins qualify in the last row (21st and 22nd)
[TEST] Cadillac in the top 5 of the timesheets on any single day
[TEST] Ferrari sets the most laps during the whole testing session
[TEST] Mercedes sets the fastest lap time of the whole testing session
[TEST] First red flag caused by a driver error/spin etc. (not mechanical failure)
[AUS] Both Aston Martins retire after formation lap before race start
[AUS] The car finishing on P5 gets lapped
[AUS] Both Aston Martins don't finish the race
[AUS] Hadjar finishes on the podium
[CHN] Ferrari qualifies 1st or 2nd in the sprint qualifying (at least one driver)
[CHN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CHN] Gasly scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] An Audi reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[CHN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CHN] An Audi scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] A Red Bull Racing driver finishes in top 5 (main race)
[CHN] Winner wins by 11.00 seconds or more?
[JAP] Both Aston Martins DNF
[JAP] Yellow flag first lap
[JAP] Red flag in qualifying
[JAP] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes gets pole position in qualifying
[JAP] Bearman reaches Q3
[JAP] 5 or more DNF (including DNS)
[JAP] Linblad scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Bortoleto scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (face)
[JAP] A McLaren retires/DNS due to reliability issues
[JAP] Verstappen on the podium
[MIA] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Colapinto scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Hadjar scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the sprint race
[MIA] McLaren pole position in qualifying for the main race
[MIA] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes qualifies outside the top 5 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Hadjar doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Verstappen on the Podium in the main race
[MIA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[MIA] Both Ferrari finish in top 6 in the main race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches SQ3 (Sprint Qualifying)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CAN] A Ferrari on the podium in the sprint race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the sprint race
[CAN] Yellow flag in the first lap of the sprint race
[CAN] Sainz scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] A Williams reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] Yellow flag first lap of the main race
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the main race
[CAN] Linblad scores points in the main race
[CAN] An Audi finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Oscar Piastri Finishes on Podium in the Main Race
[CAN] English broadcoast shows Colapinto's onboard camera view in the main race
[CAN] 7 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] Piastri scores points in the main race
[MON] 5 or more on-track overtakes
[MON] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MON] Wet or intermediate tyres used during the race
[MON] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[BAR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[BAR] Yellow flag in the first lap of the race
[BAR] Mercedes driver wins
[BAR] Both McLaren qualify in top 4
[BAR] Antonelli pole position in qualifying
[BAR] Hulkenberg scores points (top 10)
[BAR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[BAR] Both Mercedes drivers on podium
[AUT] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qual or race
[AUT] Red flag during qualifying
[AUT] Physical safety car during the race
[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AUT] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[AUT] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[AUT] An Audi reaches Q3
[AUT] Both Ferraris on the podium (race)
[AUT] Antonelli finishes ahead of Russel (race)
[AUT] Gasly finishes on top 10 (race)
[AUT] At least 2 drivers that finish in the top 5 did 3 or more pit stops during the race
[AUT] An Audi finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUT] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[AUT] Russel and Antonelli collide during the race
[AUT] Yellow flag first lap
[GBR] All three tire compounds used on starting grid (main race)
[GBR] All 22 cars classified in the race
[GBR] Wet or Intermediate tyres used in any of quals or races (sprint and main)
[GBR] The same driver wins both races
[GBR] Red flag during the main race
[GBR] Same pole sitter in both the sprint qualifying and the main qualifying
[GBR] Pole position margin for the main qualifying is less than 50 milliseconds
[GBR] Hamilton wins the sprint race
[GBR] Both Ferraris on the podium of the sprint race
[GBR] Hadjar finishes in top 8 in the sprint race
[GBR] Physical or Virtual Safety Car in the sprint race
[GBR] Russel qualfies 5th or lower in the main qualifying
[GBR] An Audi reaches Q3 (main qualifying)
[GBR] 4 or more DNF/DNS (main race)
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the main race
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[SPA] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qualifying or race
[SPA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in the race
[SPA] Norris finishes the race in top 6
[SPA] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[HUN] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Red Flag during qualifying
[HUN] 4 or more DNF/DNS
[HUN] Ferrari pole position
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls reach Q3
[HUN] Video drone hits the sign over the track around turns 8-10
[HUN] A Ferrari on the podium
[HUN] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
JD Vance
Andy Beshear
Vermin Supreme
JB Pritzker
Pete Buttigieg
Jill Stein
Corey Booker
Marco Rubio
Nikki Haley
Mark Kelly
Gretchen Whitmer
Ted Cruz
Vermin Supreme - NA REMAKING
Glenn Youngkin
Brian Schatz
Eric Trump
Ron DeSantis
Kamala Harris
Spencer Cox
Chris Murphy
Rand Paul
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Cornel West
Greg Abbott
Ro Khanna
Josh Hawley
John Ossoff
Marianne Williamson
Adam Schiff
Wes Moore
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Katie Britt
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Vivek Ramaswamy
Amy Klobuchar
Mitch Landrieu
Robert F Kennedy Jr
Tim Scott
Raphael Warnock
Brian Kemp
Jared Polis
Andy Kim
Scott Perry
Mark Cuban
Nicole Shanahan
Donald Trump, Jr.
Steve Bannon
Byron Donalds
Kristi Noem
Stephen A. Smith
Chris Sununu
Marty Walsh
Erika Kirk
Elise Stefanik
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Tammy Duckworth
John Fetterman
Matt Gaetz
Roy Cooper
Tim Walz
Chris Christie
Lauren Boebert
Elizabeth Warren
Martin O'Malley
Andrew Yang
Katie Porter
Tulsi Gabbard
Mike Pompeo
Daniel "Keemstar" Keem
Ron Paul
Cenk Uygur
Mike Pence
Bernie Sanders
Elon Musk
Michelle Obama
Taylor Swift
Hillary Clinton
Ilhan Omar
Samuel L. Jackson
Mark Fischbach
Jimmy Carter
Joe Biden
Chuck Norris
Mickey Mouse
92
84
84
77
72
71
70
65
61
60
59
59
56
55
51
50
50
49
48
48
48
47
46
43
42
41
41
40
40
39
37
34
34
31
31
29
28
28
27
27
25
25
24
23
22
21
20
19
19
18
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
11
9
8
8
7
7
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
A team principle gets replaced during the season
Hamilton gets a podium finish
Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race
race cancelled or moved due to military operations
WDC winner wins their first title
Kim Kardashian shown on F1TV in Ferrari garage during main race or qualifying broadcast
A driver misses a race due to health reasons
Esteban Ocon replaced before season end
Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen
A technical directive changes regulations to stop a dominant team or forces to change something important in the cars (e.g., flexible wings in 2025, Ferrari in 2022 with TD39)
Abu Dhabi and Qatar races cancelled
No pit crew injuries during any race.
Hannah Schmitz departure from RBR announced
Ferrari finishes 2nd in the WCC
WDC 1 & 2 from same team
Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.
A driver gets permanently replaced during the season
Lewis Hamilton gets a podium
A rear-end accident because of super-clipping
Bottas scores more points than Perez
WDC winner wins it by 10 points or less
WCC is won with 5 or more races to go
A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently
A driver at Red Bull Racing gets replaced during the season
Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom
A driver gets a race ban due to penalty points
WDC is won with 5 or more races to go
Christian Horner starts a team principle position
Mohammed Ben Sulayem steps down as head of FIA
Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3
Lance Stroll announces retirement
The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams
Reduced points awarded at Grand Prix (25% to 75% race completed)
Lewis Hamilton announces retirement
Bahrain and Jeddah races take place later in the season
Max Verstappen wins the WDC
Aston Martin wins WCC
Fernando Alonso wins a race (feature or sprint)
Williams misses the first public test on Feb 11-13
100
100
100
100
85
79
69
69
68
68
67
55
55
54
53
52
51
50
45
41
41
37
36
30
28
26
22
22
19
18
18
10
10
8
7
3
2
2
0
OptionProbability
Other
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Jamie Dimon
J. D. Vance
Kamala Harris
Ted Cruz
Gavin Newsom
Tulsi Gabbard
Cory Booker
Ron DeSantis
Nikki Haley
Gretchen Whitmer
Pete Buttigieg
Tim Scott
J. B. Pritzker
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
Elise Stefanik
Josh Shapiro
Mike Pence
Kristi Noem
Andy Beshear
Spencer Cox
Glenn Youngkin
Marco Rubio
Jackson Hinkle
Dean Phillips
Donald Trump
Elon Musk
Aella
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Xi Jinping
Tammy Duckworth
Ivanka Trump
Mike Johnson
Tucker Carlson
Mark Zuckerberg
An AGI
Jared Kushner
Zvi Mowshowitz
Curtis Yarvin
Mike Dunleavy
Katie Hobbs
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Jared Polis
Brian Kemp
Scott Perry
Joe Biden
Josh Green
Eric Holcomb
Kim Reynolds
Jeff Landry
Wes Moore
Maura Healey
Tim Walz
Tate Reeves
Mike Parson
Greg Gianforte
Christopher Sununu
Jim Pillen
Joe Lombardo
Phil Murphy
Michelle Lujan Grisham
Kathy Hochul
Roy Cooper
Doug Burgum
Kevin Stitt
Tina Kotek
Bill Lee
Greg Abbott
Phil Scott
Mark Gordon
Ro Khanna
Tammy Baldwin
Taylor Swift
Josh Hawley
Raphael Warnock
Luigi Mangione
Chuck Norris
Robert Francis Prevost
57
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Runcorn and Helsby
Gorton and Denton [Andrew Gwynne]
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry
Aberdeen South [Stephen Flynn]
Makerfield [Josh Simons]
Clacton [Nigel Farage]
North East Somerset and Hanham [Dan Norris]
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich [Patrick Spencer]
East Kilbride and Strathavenn [Joani Reid]
Blackley and Middleton South [Graham Stringer]
Mid Norfolk [George Freeman]
Kingston upon Hull East [Karl Turner]
Hertsmere [Oliver Dowden]
South Basildon and East Thurrock [James McMurdock]
Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]
Hackney North and Stoke Newington [Diane Abbott]
Herne Bay and Sandwich [Roger Gale]
Gainsborough [Edward Leigh]
Holborn and St. Pancras [Keir Starmer]
West Lancashire [Rosie Cooper]
Skipton and Ripon [Julian Smith]
Hampstead and Highgate [Tulip Siddiq]
Norwich South [Clive Lewis]
Manchester Rusholme [Afzhal Khan]
Burnley [Oliver Ryan]
100
100
100
100
100
98
90
71
50
37
34
33
31
31
30
30
28
22
22
21
20
17
10
9
8
OptionProbability
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Vallteri Bottas?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Ocon
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Russell?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Ocon OUT FINISH Perez?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Alonso?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Bearman?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Bortoletto OUT FINISH Bottas?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Ocon?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Sainz?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/13 (Spain) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/26 (Azerbaijan) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/25 (USA) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/01 (Mexico) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/08 (Brazil) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/21 (Las Vegas) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/29 (Qatar) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/13 (Spain) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/26 (Azerbaijan) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/25 (USA) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/01 (Mexico) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/08 (Brazil) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/21 (Las Vegas) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/29 (Qatar) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Alonso?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Bottas OUT FINISH Bearman?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Colapinto OUT FINISH Gasly?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hadjar OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hulkenberg OUT FINISH Lawson?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Linbald?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Perez OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/05 (Great Britain) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
75
71
63
53
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Tage Thompson scores 40+ goals in 2024-25
Tage Thompson play 75+ games with the Sabres in 2024-25
Owen Power 40+ points in 2024-25
Sabres get to round 2 of playoffs by end of 2028
Sabres reach the Stanley Cup Finals by end of 2032
Alex Tuch 70+ points in 2024-25
Rasmus Dahlin gets the Norris Trophy in 2024-2025
Sabres are 20% on the power play in 2024-25
Sabres 10+ overtime losses in 2024-25
Sabres finish with 90+ points in 2024-25
Sabres make the playoffs in 2024-25
Devon Levi starts in 25+ Games in 2024-25
100
100
100
92
41
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J.D. Vance
Gavin Newsom
Marco Rubio
Pete Buttigieg
Greg Abbott
Ron DeSantis
Kari Lake
Roy Cooper
Gretchen Whitmer
Josh Hawley
Ilhan Omar
Ben Carson
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)
Hakeem Jeffries
Andy Beshear
Byron Donalds
Nikki Haley
Wes Moore
Elise Stefanik
Mark Cuban
Raphael Warnock
Kristi Noem
Tammy Duckworth
Vivek Ramaswamy
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
J.B. Pritzker
Brian Kemp
Katie Porter
Beto O'Rourke
Katie Britt
Tim Scott
Kamala Harris
Andrew Yang
John Fetterman
Tucker Carlson
Michelle Obama
Stephen Colbert
Matt Gaetz
Jon Stewart
Hillary Clinton
Chuck Norris
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Zvi Mowshowitz
37
21
19
19
18
17
17
15
13
13
13
11
11
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Jimmy Donaldson (Mr.Beast) (May 7, 1998)
Taylor Swift (Dec 13, 1989)
Dua Lipa (Aug 22, 1995)
Mark Zuckerberg (May 14, 1984)
Ed Sheeran (Feb 17, 1991)
Ariana Grande (Jun 26, 1993)
Shohei Ohtani (Jul 5, 1994)
Drake (Oct 24, 1986)
Sam Bankman-Fried (Mar 6, 1992)
Lionel Messi (Jun 24, 1987)
Cristiano Ronaldo (Feb 5, 1985)
Rihanna (Feb 20, 1988)
Patrick Mahomes (Sep 17, 1995)
Michael Phelps (Jun 30, 1985)
Travis Kelce (Oct 5, 1989)
Beyonce (Sep 4, 1981)
Rafael Nadal (Jun 3, 1986)
Lebron James (Dec 30, 1984)
Sam Altman (Apr 22, 1985)
Usain Bolt (Aug 21 1986)
Jeff Bezos (Jan 12, 1964)
Tom Brady (Aug 3, 1977)
Emmanuel Macron (Dec 21, 1977)
Serena Williams (Sep 26 1981)
Roger Federer (Aug 8, 1981)
Ketanji Brown Jackson (Sep 14, 1970)
Kamala Harris (Oct 20, 1964)
Christopher Nolan (Jul 30, 1970)
Hakeem Jeffries (Aug 4, 1970)
Satya Nadella (Aug 19, 1967)
Gavin Newsom (Oct 10, 1967)
Nikki Haley (Jan 20, 1972)
Tiger Woods (Dec 30, 1975)
Larry Page (Mar 26, 1973)
Lil Wayne (Sep 27, 1982)
Elizabeth Holmes (Feb 3, 1984)
Will Smith (Sep 25, 1968)
Venus Williams (Jun 17, 1980)
Ron Desantis (Sep 14, 1978)
Neil Gorsuch (Aug 29, 1967)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Nov 11, 1974)
Shou Chew (Jan 1, 1983)
Ryan Reynolds (Oct 23, 1976)
Britney Spears (Dec 2, 1981)
Michelle Obama (Jan 17, 1964)
Jensen Huang (Feb 17, 1963)
Amy Coney Barrett (Jan 28, 1972)
Jennifer Lopez (Jul 24, 1969)
Brad Pitt (Dec 18, 1963)
Brett Kavanaugh (Feb 12, 1965)
JK Rowling (Jul 31, 1965)
Elena Kagan (Apr 28, 1960)
Mike Pence (Jun 7, 1959)
Wayne Gretzsky (Jan 26, 1961)
Mary Barra (Dec 24, 1961)
Barack Obama (Aug 4, 1961)
Oprah Winfrey (Jan 29, 1954)
Eliezer Yudkowsky (Sep 11, 1979)
Erdogan (Feb 26, 1954)
Quentin Tarantino (Mar 27, 1963)
John G. Roberts (Jan 27, 1955)
Ted Cruz (Dec 22, 1970)
Volodymyr Zelensky (Jan 25, 1978)
Snoop Dogg (Oct 20, 1971)
Xi Jinping (Jun 15, 1953)
Samuel Alito (Apr 1, 1950)
Mohammed Bin Salman (Aug 31, 1985)
Sonia Sotomayor (Jun 25, 1954)
Kim Jong Un (Jan 8, 1984)
Benjamin Netanyahu (Oct 21, 1949)
Hillary Clinton (Oct 26, 1947)
Stephen King (Sep 21, 1947)
Geoffrey Hinton (Dec 6, 1947)
Elon Musk (Jun 28, 1971)
Bernard Arnault (Mar 5, 1949)
Steven Spielberg (Dec 18, 1946)
George W Bush (Jul 6, 1946)
Clarence Thomas (Jun 23, 1948)
Bill Clinton (Aug 19, 1946)
Michael Jordan (Feb 17, 1963)
Michael Bloomberg (Feb 14, 1942)
Paul McCartney (Jun 18, 1942)
Tom Hanks (Jul 9, 1956)
Bill Gates (Oct 28, 1955)
Donald Trump (Jun 14, 1946)
Vladimir Putin (Oct 7, 1952)
Jill Biden (Jun 3, 1951)
Martin Scorsese (Nov 17, 1942)
Rudy Giuliani (May 28, 1944)
Nancy Pelosi (Mar 26, 1940)
Joe Biden (Nov 20, 1942)
Mitch McConnell (Feb 20, 1942)
Warren Buffet (Aug 30, 1930)
King Charles (Nov 14, 1948)
Dick Van Dyke (Dec 13, 1925)
Mel brooks (Jun 28, 1926)
Chuck Norris (Mar 10, 1940)
Ali Khamenei (Apr 19, 1939)
Jimmy Carter (Oct 1, 1924)
Yahya Sinwar (Oct 29 1962)
Bernie Madoff
James Earl Jones (Jan 17, 1931)
94
93
91
89
89
86
85
81
80
80
80
79
77
77
76
74
74
74
73
72
71
69
69
69
69
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
67
66
63
62
62
61
59
59
59
57
55
55
55
54
54
53
53
53
53
49
48
45
43
43
42
41
38
37
36
36
35
33
32
32
32
32
31
30
30
29
28
28
27
27
26
24
21
21
19
17
16
14
13
11
10
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Kimi Antonelli
Lewis Hamilton
George Russell
Max Verstappen
Charles Leclerc
Lando Norris
Oscar Piastri
Fernando Alonso
Carlos Sainz
Gabriel Bortoleto
Pierre Gasly
Franco Colapinto
Yuki Tsunoda
Isack Hadjar
Nico Hulkenberg
Sergio Pérez
Valtteri Bottas
Arvid Lindblad
Other
75
11
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Vivek Ramaswamy
Jimmy Carter
Gavin Newsom
Gretchen Whitmer
JD Vance
Pete Buttigieg
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Stephen A. Smith
David Hogg
Spencer Cox
Jeff Jackson
Liz Cheney
Tucker Carlson
Tim Ferriss
Taylor Swift
Michelle Obama
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Tim Cook
Chuck Norris
100
100
91
86
82
80
65
50
50
50
41
23
18
9
6
6
6
3
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
142
70

