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Prediction markets for Norris
🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
93
87
85
82
72
71
71
65
61
61
59
59
59
55
51
50
50
49
48
48
47
47
47
46
42
41
40
40
39
39
37
37
34
31
31
30
29
28
28
27
27
26
25
25
24
22
22
20
20
19
19
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
11
11
8
8
7
7
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
98
96
96
95
94
94
93
93
92
91
90
89
87
87
87
85
82
82
82
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
72
72
72
72
70
69
69
68
65
65
64
63
63
63
62
62
61
60
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
58
57
57
57
56
56
56
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
45
45
43
43
43
43
40
40
39
37
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
34
32
32
29
28
25
24
22
21
20
17
16
16
9
8
6
6
6
OptionProbability
57
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
45
37
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
90
74
68
51
44
19
15
14
12
11
10
9
9
8
8
6
6
6
5
5
OptionProbability
88
80
59
55
17
17
13
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
Who will run for U.S. president before 2060 [Independent Resolution] [Free Response]
OptionProbability
100
100
91
87
82
80
65
50
50
50
41
23
18
9
6
6
6
3
1
Will xkcd #3223 reference, or in some way be about Chuck Norris?
OptionVotes
177
57
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
OptionProbability
100
100
90
64
55
55
52
50
50
49
34
34
32
31
31
31
31
25
23
10
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
OptionProbability
79
62
60
56
50
49
40
39
38
31
27
24
22
20
19
17
15
14
4
1
1
OptionProbability
61
36
1
1
1
OptionVotes
142
70