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Top stories

UK Says It Is Ready to Send Reassurance Force to Ukraine

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Pares

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.25%chance

2716588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17839

6551

Are the pronatalist couple good parents?

Jun 12, 8:06 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

47.75%chance

282492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

956

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.23%chance

62299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4086

101

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

18.14%chance

18594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

917

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

Aug 25, 8:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.04%chance

18486

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

963

Will a baby get Lantern Bioworks dental microbiome from their parents by end of 2028?

Apr 10, 6:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.71%chance

13363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

483

122

will my kalanchoe hybrid seedling flower be closer to the porphyrocalyx or blossfeldiana parent?

Jan 29, 11:31 PMMar 7, 11:08 PM

9247

OptionProbability

intermediate

porphyrocalyx

entirely different

blossfeldiana

49

42

7

2

Will Emily’s parents like aren

Mar 6, 4:19 AMDec 31, 5:19 AM

74.24%chance

5121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

59

Will "In defense of parents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

May 4, 12:20 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.74%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

985

Will EITHER of Jose Luis Ricon's parents live to be over 96 years old?

May 2, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.44%chance

553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

By EOY 2040, will I have been parent to a human child?

Jul 21, 9:00 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

50.9%chance

249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

982

Will "The Missing Genre: Heroic Parenthood - You ca..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 29, 8:31 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Britain
Ukraine
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UK Says It Is Ready to Send Reassurance Force to Ukraine
Authors
3
9 months ago

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