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Top stories

ICE Refers Connecticut Lawmaker Corey Paris to DOJ Over Instagram Post

ICE Refers Connecticut Lawmaker Corey Paris to DOJ Over Instagram Post

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Paris

Will university fusion continue in Paris until only 1 huge one remain? (Before Nov. 2027)

Nov 6, 9:48 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

6.62%chance

8895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

78

Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032

May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

7.78%chance

10652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1602

997

Will Paris be the hub of AI in Europe by the end of 2027?

Oct 27, 2:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.81%chance

21595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

191

Paris-Berlin Vactrain by 2070?

Dec 26, 4:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.58%chance

6266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

68

Rome-Paris Vactrain by 2070?

Dec 23, 11:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.58%chance

6212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

Will "The Paris AI Anti-Safety Summit" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 13, 5:05 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11%chance

6184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

96

Paris-London Vactrain by 2070?

Dec 24, 5:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.91%chance

4162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Average price per m² for old apartments in Paris by end of December 2027

Aug 2, 5:26 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM

366

OptionProbability

8,800 - 9,599

8,000 - 8,799

9,600 - 10,399

10,400 - 11,199

11,200 - 12,000

Above 12,000

Below 8,000

37

11

11

11

11

10

8

Paris gets a North-South TGV spine by 2050?

Dec 2, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.78%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Global warming will increase by at least 2.5° in 2050 and crushing the Paris Agreement.

Feb 20, 7:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.84%chance

634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

141

Which of these countries will ratify the Paris Agreement before 2030?

Jan 3, 9:17 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

226

OptionProbability

Libya

Yemen

Iran

43

43

37

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Paris and Bali exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 4:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Politics
ICE Refers Connecticut Lawmaker Corey Paris to DOJ Over Instagram Post
Authors
7
1 year ago

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