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Prediction markets for Paul
OptionVotes
1292
201
Will Paul Christiano shake the US president's hand by 2027
Nov 2, 9:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
19.44%chance
374008
OptionVotes
1716
715
Will Logan Paul spend at least 1 month in prison before the end of 2027?
Dec 29, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.29%chance
253704
OptionVotes
3256
597
Will Jake Paul and Logan Paul compete against one another in a boxing match before the end of 2026?
Jul 28, 1:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.62%chance
142981
OptionVotes
2400
692
Will Anthony Joshua and Logan Paul compete against one another in a boxing match before the end of 2027
Dec 25, 3:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.59%chance
52976
OptionVotes
2242
446
OptionVotes
977
692
OptionVotes
2500
400
Will Paul Christiano publicly announce a greater than 10% increase in his p(doom | AGI before 2100) within the next 5 years?
Feb 19, 9:03 AMFeb 19, 11:59 PM
33.35%chance
241806
OptionVotes
1355
713
OptionVotes
1538
650
Will Donald Trump mention Nancy Pelosi's (or Paul Pelosi's) stock holdings during 2026?
Jan 10, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.39%chance
6524
OptionVotes
1215
823
Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?
Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
55.19%chance
3323
OptionVotes
1110
901
Will Paul Christiano become a father by EOY 2031? #ChristianoBabby
Jan 28, 3:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
61%chance
013
OptionVotes
63
40
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