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Prediction markets for Paul
OptionVotes
1223
934
Will Paul Christiano shake the US president's hand by 2027
Nov 2, 9:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
18.25%chance
363988
OptionVotes
1802
695
OptionVotes
977
692
Will Jake Paul and Logan Paul compete against one another in a boxing match before the end of 2026?
Jul 28, 1:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.19%chance
142481
OptionVotes
1900
761
Will Paul Christiano publicly announce a greater than 10% increase in his p(doom | AGI before 2100) within the next 5 years?
Feb 19, 9:03 AMFeb 19, 11:59 PM
33.35%chance
241806
OptionVotes
1355
713
OptionVotes
2050
488
Will Logan Paul spend at least 1 month in prison before the end of 2027?
Dec 29, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.43%chance
211439
OptionVotes
1012
986
Will Donald Trump mention Nancy Pelosi's (or Paul Pelosi's) stock holdings during 2026?
Jan 10, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.39%chance
6524
OptionVotes
1215
823
Will Anthony Joshua and Logan Paul compete against one another in a boxing match before the end of 2027
Dec 25, 3:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.35%chance
3476
OptionVotes
1446
691
Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season?
May 5, 4:10 AMOct 25, 10:59 PM
48.41%chance
4251
OptionVotes
1032
969
Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?
Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
45.3%chance
2123
OptionVotes
1099
910
OptionVotes
142
120
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