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Penny News

    Prediction markets for Penny

    OptionProbability

    UK has a queen again

    USA adds 52nd state

    President with Green Eyes elected

    Room temperature superconductor discovered

    24th Doctor Who regenerates into the 25th

    Olympics hosted in Japan again

    ChatGPT 10 releases

    RSA-2048 cracked

    Crewed mission to Phobos

    Harlem Globetrotters lose again

    2000 Pokemon Released or franchise ceases

    Batman enters the public domain

    The Beatles music enters the public domain

    19th Doctor Who regenerates into 20th

    Hershey's reintroduces the Gold bar

    Norway Bans Whaling

    African company or country lands on moon

    Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 1B

    Olympics hosted in Africa

    Japan Bans Whaling

    Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 500M

    Longest suspension bridge record broken

    Pokemon Card sells for $10M

    First hispanic USA president

    End support date for Windows 12

    Country claims the Bir Tawil triangle

    Pickleball in the Olympics

    Team Fortress 3 releases

    ChatGPT 7 releases

    human dies on the moon

    Grand Theft Auto 7 releases

    Human walks on mars

    The next 9.0 magnitude earthquake

    The first $10T market cap company

    Chicago ends on Broadway

    First asian USA president (as judged by self ID & manifold opinion after inauguration)

    USA Adds 51st state

    USA fully ends embargo on Cuba

    Superman enters the public domain

    Iceland Bans Whaling

    The version after Windows 12 releases

    Centennial Lightbulb burns out

    Underwater hold breath world record broken

    Bitcoin reaches $200K USD

    China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

    Destiny retires from regular streaming

    Grimace Shake returns to McDonalds

    Sitting USA president visits Belize for the first time

    Peppa Pig ends

    EU reaches 30 member states

    First female USA president

    Windows 11 end support date

    Taika Waititi's Star Wars film releases

    India hosts the Olympics

    Blood Meridian movie release

    marijuana no longer federally a schedule 1 drug in the USA

    Star Citizen releases or company ceases

    Family Guy ends

    Civilization 8 releases

    Kingdom Hearts 4 releases

    Two grand slams in one MLB game by one player again

    ChatGPT 6 releases

    South Park ends

    Manifold reaches 20K MAU

    1500 Pokemon Released

    Xi no longer in power in China

    Simpsons ends

    First Trillionaire (USD)

    Bugs Bunny enters public domain

    1300 Pokemon Released

    Manifold reaches 40K MAU

    USA's Doris Miller aircraft carrier launched

    Trump Dies

    James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases

    Human walks on moon again

    Price of gold hits $5000/oz

    Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out

    Putin no longer in power in Russia

    Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken

    Bitcoin reaches $150K USD

    One piece manga ends

    a USA president impeached again

    Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases

    Human runs official marathon under 2h

    Skibidi Toilet ends

    The first $5T market cap company

    Half Life 3 releases

    Sagrada Familia Church completed

    Another MLB perfect game pitched

    Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire

    Book of Mormon ends on Broadway

    Shrek 5 releases

    Grand Theft Auto 6 releases

    USA discontinues or changes penny coin

    Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)

    Death Stranding 2 releases

    First $100B revenue media franchise

    New Pope after Francis

    Civilization 7 releases

    Bitcoin reaches $100K USD

    Mario 64 120star speedrun WR 1h36m00s or less

    Dallas Mavericks play in the NBA championship

    Sweden joins NATO

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    1

    Will the US abolish pennies (de facto) by 2030?

    Jan 16, 7:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    84.96%chance
    404537

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2361

    441

    OptionProbability

    Nigel Farage

    Other

    Angela Rayner

    Robert Jenrick

    Kemi Badenoch

    James Cleverly

    Ed Davey

    Wes Streeting

    Jeremy Corbyn

    Keir Starmer

    David Lammy

    Yvette Cooper

    Andy Burnham

    Rachel Reeves

    Jeremy Hunt

    Rishi Sunak

    Ben Wallace

    Rosena Allin-Khan

    Penny Mordaunt

    Suella Braverman

    Rebecca Long-Bailey

    Lisa Nandy

    Someone Else

    Emily Thornberry

    Jess Phillips

    Clive Lewis

    Diane Abbott

    John McDonnell

    Dan Jarvis

    Barry Gardiner

    Ian Lavery

    Michael Gove

    Sajid Javid

    Brandon Lewis

    Grant Shapps

    Tom Tugendhat

    Boris Johnson

    Theresa May

    Andrea Leadsom

    Stephen Crabb

    Liam Fox

    Nadhim Zahawi

    Priti Patel

    Angela Eagle

    Hilary Benn

    Jacob Rees-Mogg

    Stephen Kinnock

    Michelle Donelan

    Johnny Mercer

    Niko Omilana

    26

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    18

    10

    7

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    Will the US abolish non-pennies by 2030?

    Apr 7, 8:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2.93%chance
    293450

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2712

    866

    Who will Trump pardon in 2025? [Polymarket]

    Jul 27, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    222903

    OptionProbability

    Changpeng Zhao

    Diddy

    Ghislaine Maxwell

    Roger Ver

    Steve Bannon

    Eric Adams

    Joe Exotic

    Rudy Giuliani

    Matt Gaetz

    Elizabeth Holmes

    Derek Chauvin

    George Santos

    Bob Menendez

    Julian Assange

    Do Kwon

    Young Thug

    Daniel Penny

    Himself

    Roger Stone

    Elon Musk

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Hunter Biden

    Edward Snowden

    Antoine Massey

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    Will I touch a “2025” penny in 2025?

    Feb 10, 7:02 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM
    49.23%chance
    151636

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1016

    985

    OptionProbability

    By Jan 1, 2028

    By Jan 1, 2035

    By Jan 1, 2040

    By Jan 1, 2027

    By Jan 1, 2030

    By Jan 1, 2029

    By Jan 1, 2026

    By Jan 1, 2025

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    53

    0

    Will I touch a “2026” penny in 2026?

    Feb 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM
    28.28%chance
    10861

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1593

    628

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1015

    968

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    139

    104

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    227

    44

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    158

    63

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