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Top stories

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Orders Army to Create Joint Interagency Task Force 401 Integrating Multi-Agency Mobile Counter-Drone Systems

Executive Orders

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Orders Army to Create Joint Interagency Task Force 401 Integrating Multi-Agency Mobile Counter-Drone Systems

Authors

5

1 year ago

Marles Courts Trump Officials to Clear Path for Albanese Visit

US Foreign Policy

Marles Courts Trump Officials to Clear Path for Albanese Visit

Authors

4

1 year ago

Pentagon Orders Microsoft Audit After Ending Chinese Support for Defense Cloud

US Domestic Policy

Pentagon Orders Microsoft Audit After Ending Chinese Support for Defense Cloud

Authors

18

1 year ago

Executive Orders

Trump Declares Aug. 26 Day to Honor Abbey Gate Fallen

Authors

85

1 year ago

Executive Orders

US Gov Appointments

Trump Overhauls Pentagon Brass as Caudle Becomes Navy’s Top Officer

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Trump Cabinet Ends DEI Programs, Pushes Education Control to States

Authors

5

1 year ago

Trump Signals Plan to Rename Pentagon the ‘Department of War’ Within Week

Authors

60

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Pentagon to Complete Investigation Into 2021 Afghanistan Withdrawal That Killed 13 by Mid-2026, Trump and Gold Star Families Involved

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Pete Hegseth

Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?

Jan 25, 1:15 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

12.19%chance

12322702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2685

373

Pete Hegseth out by EOY?

Nov 4, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.87%chance

15413829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1184

When will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?

Jan 29, 5:02 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

348711

OptionProbability

He will not be publicly drunk as Secretary of Defense

By the end of his tenure as Secretary of Defense

Before January 2027

Before April 2025

Before July 2025

Before October 2025

Before January 2026

69

28

8

0

0

0

0

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

154444

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2026

in 2027

75

9

6

6

2

2

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.09%chance

423983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1202

1000

Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?

Mar 10, 7:42 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

62%chance

463663

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

78

Will Pete Hegseth be appointed to the Tennessee US Senate Seat?

Oct 22, 8:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5.47%chance

133332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4198

493

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by the house in 2026?

Sep 15, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.33%chance

431884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

893

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by…?

Sep 24, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

161517

OptionProbability

11.59pm January 2 2029

11.59pm September 30 2027

11.59pm June 29 2027

11.59pm January 2 2028

11.59pm January 2 2027

11.59pm November 3 2026

83

80

79

74

62

2

Will Pete Hegseth write or say the words "Deus vult" while Secretary of Defence?

Jan 25, 1:40 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

25.85%chance

26783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027

Jan 14, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.95%chance

17655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

85

Should Pete Hegseth be impeached and removed from office?

Sep 15, 8:59 PM

120

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