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Prediction markets for Peter Thiel
Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
Jul 30, 1:59 AMAug 6, 3:59 AM
5.92%chance
638674
OptionVotes
1152
911
OptionVotes
899
11
OptionVotes
2086
899
Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 2, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.18%chance
22992
OptionVotes
1482
927
OptionVotes
1265
779
Will Donald Trump nominate Peter Thiel to serve on the Supreme Court of the United States during Trump II?
Feb 16, 10:39 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
4.86%chance
14702
OptionVotes
442
23
Will Peter Thiel name >=1 kid Sigil Thiel, "Lada Thiel", "Jose Thiel", "Gwern Thiel", "Rochelle Thiel",or "Laria Thiel"?
Dec 19, 6:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
31.07%chance
7157
OptionVotes
149
67
Will Peter Thiel's Horvath DNAm age be higher than his chronological age?
Jan 1, 7:49 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM
17.8%chance
361
OptionVotes
171
82
OptionVotes
150
67
Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?
Jan 7, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.89%chance
547
OptionVotes
177
104
Will Peter Thiel's "break" with Chuck Johnson actually be permanent? [will they talk again before 2050]
Nov 10, 6:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.98%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
Is there a Markov boundary between Chuck Johnson and Peter thiel by EOY 2028?
Jan 23, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50
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