Peter Wells News

Ten-Year-Old Bodhana Sivanandan Beats Grandmaster, Sets Chess Age Record

1 day ago

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.06%chance

233123

OptionVotes

YES

3255

688

Something Happens (YES) VS Nothing Ever Happens (NO) 2024-2025

May 5, 12:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8%chance

262189

OptionVotes

YES

2210

787

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Jan 1, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

181079

OptionProbability

The Way of Kings by Brandon Sanderson

Merchant Magician by John Champaign

The Road by Cormac McCarthy

The Player of Games by Iain M. Banks

Crime and Punishment

Lord of Light by Roger Zelazny

Exhalation by Ted Chiang

Hyperion by Dan Simmons

War with the Newts

Small Things Like These by Claire Keegan

(The books you will rate 5 stars)

Catch-22 by Joseph Heller

Great Gatsby

Existential Kink by Carolyn Elliott

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Mar 12, 8:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.77%chance

9913

OptionVotes

YES

1311

763

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

1259

922

Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:54 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

14.86%chance

9344

OptionVotes

YES

491

223

Well there be popular availability of a symptom relieving glove for Parkinson's by Jan 1 2026?

Dec 18, 1:19 AMJan 1, 8:00 PM

9.41%chance

10310

OptionVotes

YES

451

121

Left to Suffer Stock

May 15, 2:23 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

120

OptionProbability

YES

Recommend me podcasts about the future

Apr 17, 6:52 PM

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Ten-Year-Old Bodhana Sivanandan Beats Grandmaster, Sets Chess Age Record
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Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Something Happens (YES) VS Nothing Ever Happens (NO) 2024-2025

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Well there be popular availability of a symptom relieving glove for Parkinson's by Jan 1 2026?

Left to Suffer Stock

Recommend me podcasts about the future

Latest stories

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