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Prediction markets for Putin
(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Oct 24, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6662252
OptionProbability
44
13
10
7
6
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.46%chance
14535624
OptionVotes
2977
1215
Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?
Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
18.13%chance
14927430
OptionVotes
8092
5898
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
Apr 30, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
92.15%chance
9523453
OptionVotes
3221
242
Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM
19.22%chance
14817900
OptionVotes
3320
1354
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
Nov 11, 3:08 PMJun 23, 12:59 AM
83.39%chance
14715807
OptionVotes
2302
733
OptionVotes
3689
947
Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?
Jun 15, 6:28 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
22.28%chance
15913859
OptionVotes
1424
1391
Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?
Dec 30, 11:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
37.16%chance
683931
OptionVotes
1485
699
OptionVotes
1548
1527
OptionVotes
1998
1430
Will Putin still be in power when Xi Jinping leaves power?
Mar 13, 3:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.13%chance
25902
OptionVotes
2254
1726