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Ramsey News

    Prediction markets for Ramsey

    Greatest Mathematician of all time

    Aug 11, 11:37 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM
    18426206

    OptionProbability

    Gauss

    Archimedes

    Euler

    Other

    Alexander Grothendieck

    Euclid (of Geometry)

    Erdos (on amphetamines)

    Von Neumann

    Ramanujan

    Newton

    Kurt Gödel

    David Hilbert

    Augustin-Louis Cauchy

    Pythagoras

    Galois (died at 20 fighting for a girl he loved)

    Alonzo Chuch (lambda calculus)

    Matt Damon (of Good Will Hunting)

    Poincare

    Finkelstein (of the levi finkelstein conjecture)

    Mandelbrot (The B in Benoit B Mandelbrot is Benoit B Mandelbrot)

    Trick question; there are no mathematicians.

    Idk, your mom seemed pretty good at multiplying last night

    sixtynine, you filthy casuals

    David A. Cox (Cox-Zucker machine)

    The solver of the Riemann Hypothesis

    Ludwig Wittgenstein

    John Conway (group theory, among others)

    the unknown ancient egyptian who invented zero

    Descartes

    Leibniz

    Bourbaki

    Laplace

    @Mira

    Georg Cantor

    Frank Ramsey

    Fermat

    Emmy Noether

    Ada Lovelace

    .

    p

    Terry Tao

    DottedCalculator

    GPT8

    Riemann

    Claude Shannon

    God

    Alan Turing

    Grigori Perelman

    Olga Ladyzhenskaya

    Weyl, Weyl

    John Gabriel

    Michael Atiyah

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    Who will be selected for England’s final 26-man squad for the 2026 World Cup?

    Jul 24, 4:32 PMJun 10, 10:59 PM
    413017

    OptionProbability

    Harry Kane

    Bukayo Saka

    Declan Rice

    Jordan Pickford

    Jude Bellingham

    Cole Palmer

    Myles Lewis-Skelly

    Phil Foden

    Ezri Konsa

    Marc Guehi

    Dean Henderson

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

    Noni Madueke

    Anthony Gordon

    Eberechi Eze

    Morgan Rogers

    Reece James

    James Trafford

    Levi Colwill

    Ollie Watkins

    John Stones

    Dominic Solanke

    Marcus Rashford

    Gibbs-White

    Curtis Jones

    Conor Gallagher

    Adam Wharton

    Jarrod Bowen

    Ben White

    Jarrad Branthwaite

    Liam Delap

    Valentino Livramento

    Kobbie Mainoo

    Ivan Toney

    Dan Burn

    Kyle Walker

    Lewis Hall

    Jordan Henderson

    Aaron Ramsdale

    Elliot Anderson

    Rico Lewis

    Ethan Nwaneri

    Harry Maguire

    Nick Pope

    Trevoh Chalobah

    Harvey Elliott

    Luke Shaw

    Jack Grealish

    Angel Gomes

    Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens

    Jobe Bellingham

    Jarell Quansah

    Mason Mount

    Harvey Barnes

    James Maddison

    Tyler Dibling

    Jacob Ramsey

    Archie Gray

    Joe Gomez

    James McAtee

    Ben Chilwell

    Tyrick Mitchell

    Alex Scott

    Michael Cooper

    Callum Hudson-Odoi

    Djed Spence

    Sam Johnstone

    Harwood-Bellis

    Jack Hinshelwood

    James Beadle

    Max Kilman

    Lewis Dunk

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

    Callum Wilson

    Edward Nketiah

    Jadon Sancho

    Omari Giraud-Hutchinson

    Tyrone Mings

    Ross Barkley

    Rico Henry

    James Ward-Prowse

    Leif Davis

    Keane Lewis-Potter

    Adam Webster

    Tosin Adarabioyo

    Lewis Cook

    Joseph Willock

    Emile Smith-Rowe

    Charlie Cresswell

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    Who are you aligned with?

    Mar 31, 1:34 PMJan 1, 2:27 PM
    1010181

    OptionProbability

    Mark Manson

    Adam M. Curry

    Jaan Tallinn

    Eric Czuleger

    Jack Dorsey

    Bryan Johnson

    Liron Shapira

    Andrew Bustamonte

    Graham Handcock

    Andrew Gallimore

    Hamilton Morris

    Zach De La Rocha

    Audrey Tang

    Scott Aaronson

    Scott Alexander

    Rick Rubin

    Nathan Young

    KRS-1

    Max Tegmark

    Rob Miles

    Connor Leahy

    Samo Burja

    George Hotz

    Jan Leike

    Andrew Huberman

    Karl Marx

    David Shapiro

    Tim Kennedy

    Sean Carroll

    Roger Penrose

    Tim Ferris

    Mark Laita

    Chris Ramsey

    David Grush

    Nick Bostrom

    Permendes

    Pythagoras

    David Chalmers

    Roman Yampolskiy

    Stuart Russell

    Brian Armstrong

    Nate Soares

    Doug Lenat

    Geoffrey Hinton

    Nathan Labenz

    Julian Dorey

    Yoshua Bengio

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    The user @krantz

    Dave Smith

    David Deutsch

    Ilya Sutskever

    Hal Putoff

    Eric Weinstein

    Lex Fridman

    Balaji Srinivasan

    Daniel Sheehan

    Daniel Hillis

    Tom Campbell

    Curt Jaimungal

    Robin Hanson

    Andrew Yang

    Matthew Pines

    Jesse Michels

    Danny Jones

    Jack Kruse

    Ben Goertzle

    Jake Barber

    David Hume

    Immanuel Kant

    Ludwig Wittgenstein

    Bertrand Russell

    Dan Faggela

    Robert Monroe

    Mike Benz

    Chris Bledsoe

    Julian Assange

    Micheal Levin

    Shawn Ryan

    Jeffrey Mishlove

    Diogenes

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Steven Greer

    Harald Malmgren

    Noam Chomsky

    Matt Beall

    Avi Loeb

    Robert Epstein

    Narendra Modi

    Jeffrey Sachs

    Gary Nolan

    Daryl Cooper

    John McAfee

    Daryl Davis

    David Goggins

    Tucker Carlson

    Suchir Balaji

    Alex Jones

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Bernie Sanders

    Joe Rogan

    Dick Cheney

    Ezra Klein

    Sam Altman

    Dario Amodei

    Larry Ellison

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Donald Trump

    Robert Kennedy Jr

    Douglas Murry

    Elon Musk

    Palmer Luckey

    Peter Tiel

    Joeseph Farrell

    Jeremy Corbell

    Amjad Masad

    Ammon Hillman

    Andrew Tate

    Jordan Peterson

    Aaron Rodgers

    Sergey Brin

    Steve Kwast

    Rob Reiner

    Eric Prince

    George Washington

    Alex Karp

    Vladimir Putin

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    34

    17

    Which Song of Ice and Fire fan theories are true?

    Dec 3, 3:55 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
    335784

    OptionProbability

    R+L=J

    Mad Queen Dany

    Shireen burnination

    Nightlamp

    King Bran

    Jojen-paste

    The Pink Letter not by Ramsey

    Lemongate

    Somebody is Euron

    Aegon is a Blackfyre

    Dany will burn the house with the Red Door

    Time-traveling Bran

    Arya kills Lady Stoneheart

    Marwyn is Maegor Brightflame

    Gerion Lannister is the Shrouded Lord

    Bolt-On

    Time-traveling fetus

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    26

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    5

    What will my beliefs about unsolved mysteries be in 2045?

    Mar 16, 11:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    115646

    OptionProbability

    The existence of Dark Matter explains the anomaly in galaxy rotation curves (85%)

    COVID-19 was natural in origin (80%).

    The Lost Colony of Roanoke colonists have living decedents (55%)

    The Mar Saba letter discovered by Morton Smith and containing excerpts from the "Secret Gospel of Mark" is a modern forgery (25%)

    D.B. Cooper survived his parachute jump and escaped (30%)

    The Voynich manuscript is a meaningful text (15%)

    The Hubble Tension can be resolved without new physics or changes to cosmological models (55%)

    JonBenét Ramsey was killed by a member of her family (10%)

    Lizzie Borden killed her parents (10%)

    Aaron Kosminski was Jack the Ripper (35%)

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    Will the [5, 5] Ramsey number by known before 2040?

    Apr 8, 5:56 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
    70.66%chance
    162189

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1348

    811

    If Trump is elected POTUS in 2024, will he be impeached and removed from office by January 31, 2026?

    Apr 2, 10:55 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM
    2.48%chance
    111100

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    875

    47

    What is the value of the Ramsey number R(5,5)?

    Mar 29, 3:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
    7326

    OptionProbability

    43

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    10

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    3

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    Will any of the Ramsey numbers R(5,5), R(4,6), or R(3,10) be known before 2040?

    Apr 8, 2:07 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
    85.28%chance
    7211

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    233

    64

    What will I believe is the most important publicly available video on the internet at the end of 2025?

    Mar 31, 1:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3126

    OptionProbability

    Jamie Joyce on Win Win - https://youtu.be/HzxW3a9jAxE?si=qc_WKI3SMHQ_Cuox

    Harald Malmgen's last interview - https://youtu.be/09KP8XVf5nY?si=cha9AxnZ_tgddbH1

    Daniel Sheehan's full lecture on JFK - https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVza7sesLJh44w4o6Z6gNqtgU4bea5PqP&si=_Ukh8ikh1A-xGlqv

    Daniel Sheehan's full lecture on the Trajectory of Justice - https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVza7sesLJh5EM3OE4417e3yiTyndRR6a&si=ndk8qQ3axlNWvED1

    Daniel Sheehan's full lecture on the Rulers of the Realm - https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVza7sesLJh5ZR8exn0lKoCjC3ayShvdd&si=4Qq2X8VSd3qOV-2H

    Museum of Tarot - https://youtu.be/I7CPUNSlXKs?si=Kbw_GPsG0W-9i7TZ

    Ben Goertzle on AGI - https://youtu.be/I0bsd-4TWZE?si=jJAZv3hIg0-6_XaK

    Catherine Fitts - https://youtu.be/piDqTbBwWRM?si=U4bp7-nQ5mP-cSvI

    Nate Soares warning the world - https://youtu.be/3Sn0stHiNh4?si=YLfGAHOC6X73quUh

    Jesse Michels on Rogan - https://youtu.be/r9Ldl70x5Fg?si=H9llQUlsdfUgSsTA

    Other

    Dan Faggela and Michael Levin - https://youtu.be/DmKafur28S8?si=hR_k_GQR2s69-GUl

    Curt Jaimungal and Leonard Susskind - https://youtu.be/2p_Hlm6aCok?si=8vJ91KDxMa_rS7Kj

    Robert Epstein on Rogan - https://youtu.be/Azu8XnZdxeA?si=JNHKPyLbbFZhKCX_

    Chris Ramsey and Chris Bledsoe - https://youtu.be/vQqErgnc_3g?si=2GCO4l28iuXz0RYv

    Foom Debate - https://youtu.be/m_R5Z4_khNw?si=i1LoqsAZsi8e5BJE

    Emergence with Danny Hillis - https://youtu.be/4Bm6A_BxMgU?si=OPnsbVIf4FHmg-D-

    Futarchy with Robin Hanson - https://youtu.be/PRog7R37MA0?si=D94xQFDRci-ZlbkH

    Buga Sphere Press Conference - https://youtu.be/Glu2mjX0cnI?si=G4sV1AEeqBHNBaJ2

    Adam M. Curry - https://youtu.be/RvPPk28kw4U?si=iE01rljcdMfq8Yw5

    Suchir Balaji’s mother - https://youtu.be/Kev_-HyuI9Y?si=StvA3KLr7tu0DCRP

    Daniel Hillis - https://youtu.be/k8mX_prIllI?si=w5CM825HuONG8Fgp

    Balaji Srinivasan talking about NS - https://youtu.be/sdALxUub5Eo?si=vjchl6-XoQjrjPZL

    Terence McKenna - https://youtu.be/j0j6aI764OQ?si=RWMpK0o-LqA2bwYs

    Balaji and Vitalik - https://youtu.be/43sSweq86ZA?si=NA5fbBrMS-IJAnVS

    Gavin McInnes on Danny Jones - https://youtu.be/vj7R0nNLBkk?si=Kc8sk29qsI5tzsar

    Joe McMoneagle - https://youtu.be/SvpkfMGgUGI?si=c6pNdp9QYaSXuOrE

    Lei on Danny Jones - https://youtu.be/m2m7_Iqd5to?si=SvUOkrs5oRCQ9gLM

    Charles Hoskinson on Shawn Ryan - https://youtu.be/_DZgdAUGXug?si=5-PX3SObOXMIihZq

    Robert Salas on Jesse Michels- https://youtu.be/-0g3lLGxNfc?si=PlR4bWjM0vX8M0gW

    John Kiriakou on Danny Jones - https://youtu.be/HStqERfZbPw?si=xzwrtzF-G_il9oU9

    Danny Jones on Rogan - https://youtu.be/89IEFOiW-Z0?si=SKQ9ZsKQGUCTISSt

    Balaji’s Network State Conference https://youtu.be/VqIJI8fW4PI?si=T_GKH0rG2xZPSp3Z

    Daniel Sheehan Disclosing Aliens at Yale https://youtu.be/T7ghLflxPs8?si=-WBNIDT9bMa2GbCP

    Eliezer Yudkowsky warning the world. https://youtu.be/Yd0yQ9yxSYY?si=8aodS25PDsnLVZAo

    Jack Kruse warning the world. https://youtu.be/TcbuqQd57rY?si=js0glFwJlINCmW9S

    The Sol Forum - https://www.youtube.com/live/wRkz4jqwIgw?si=OMq511GjyLJ3Gbi7

    Steven Greer warning the world - https://youtu.be/areO7Mej44E?si=l1ijhgQYP2cTfWIL

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    Will Dave Ramsey (Christian radio host) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

    Jun 6, 4:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    21.31%chance
    685

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    185

    103

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