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Reid News

    Prediction markets for Reid

    OptionProbability

    Taylor Swift

    Donald Trump

    Artificial Intelligence

    J. D. Vance

    Jensen Huang

    Pope Leo XIV

    Xi Jinping

    Elon Musk

    Donald Trump (again, after 2024)

    Gavin Newsom

    Any Protestor

    The civillians/the victims of war/the bystanders

    Pete Hegseth

    Gen Z

    Sam Altman

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    OpenAI

    Tsai Ing-wen

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Vladimir Putin

    Liang Feng

    Marine Le Pen

    Jeremy Hansen

    Dario Amodei

    The Union Workers

    SCOTUS

    Narendra Modi

    The AI builders/engineers/scientists/leaders

    Sundar Pichai

    Christina Koch

    Victor Glover

    ChatGPT

    Emmanuel Macron

    The Ukrainian Soldier

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud

    A.G.I.

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Reid Wiseman

    Mahmud Abbas

    Kamala Harris

    Trump Prosecutors

    Larry Ellison

    mRNA vaccine researchers

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Robots

    The spirit of Palestine

    Hollywood strikers

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Charles III

    Fumio Kishida

    Nikki Haley

    Ray Kurzweil

    Matt Gaetz

    Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes

    Travis Kelce

    Jon Bon Jovi

    Geoffrey Hinton

    The spirit of Israel

    Sergey Sobyanin

    Lil Tay

    Logan Paul

    Barron Trump

    Joe Biden

    Jerome Powell

    Pierre Poilievre

    Cenk Uygur

    Annie Altman

    Jimmy Carter

    Israel Defense Forces

    Nvidia

    100

    100

    46

    25

    23

    18

    17

    16

    15

    14

    14

    13

    13

    12

    10

    10

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    9

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    9

    9

    9

    9

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    8

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    8

    8

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    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    NFL Coaches Challenge Survival Market

    Oct 30, 2:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    2458411

    OptionProbability

    Sean McVay - Los Angeles (Rams)

    Andy Reid - Kansas City

    Jonathan Gannon - Arizona

    J̶o̶h̶n̶ H̶a̶r̶b̶a̶u̶g̶h̶ -̶ B̶a̶l̶t̶i̶m̶o̶r̶e̶

    Z̶a̶c̶ T̶a̶y̶l̶o̶r̶ -̶ C̶i̶n̶c̶i̶n̶n̶a̶t̶i̶

    K̶e̶v̶i̶n̶ S̶t̶e̶f̶a̶n̶s̶k̶i̶ -̶ C̶l̶e̶v̶e̶l̶a̶n̶d̶

    M̶i̶k̶e̶ ̶M̶c̶C̶a̶r̶t̶h̶y̶ ̶-̶ ̶D̶a̶l̶l̶a̶s̶

    M̶a̶t̶t̶ L̶a̶F̶l̶e̶u̶r̶ -̶ G̶r̶e̶e̶n̶ B̶a̶y̶

    ̶S̶h̶a̶n̶e̶ ̶S̶t̶e̶i̶c̶h̶a̶n̶ ̶-̶ ̶I̶n̶d̶i̶a̶n̶a̶p̶o̶l̶i̶s̶

    D̶o̶u̶g̶ ̶P̶e̶d̶e̶r̶s̶o̶n̶ ̶-̶ ̶J̶a̶c̶k̶s̶o̶n̶v̶i̶l̶l̶e̶

    J̶o̶s̶h̶ M̶c̶D̶a̶n̶i̶e̶l̶s̶ -̶ L̶a̶s̶ V̶e̶g̶a̶s̶

    B̶i̶l̶l̶ B̶e̶l̶i̶c̶h̶i̶c̶k̶ -̶ N̶e̶w̶ E̶n̶g̶l̶a̶n̶d̶

    N̶i̶c̶k̶ S̶i̶r̶i̶a̶n̶n̶i̶ -̶ P̶h̶i̶l̶a̶d̶e̶l̶p̶h̶i̶a̶

    M̶i̶k̶e̶ V̶r̶a̶b̶e̶l̶ -̶ T̶e̶n̶n̶e̶s̶s̶e̶e

    57

    34

    8

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    NFL Coach Survivor - 18 Remain

    Nov 8, 2:11 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
    1934851

    OptionProbability

    Matt LaFleur - Green Bay Packers (2019)

    Dan Campbell - Detroit Lions (2021)

    Mike Tomlin - Pittsburgh Steelers (2007)

    Kyle Shanahan - San Francisco 49ers (2017)

    Sean McDermott - Buffalo Bills (2017)

    Kevin O'Connell - Minnesota Vikings (2022)

    John Harbaugh - Baltimore Ravens (2008)

    Zac Taylor - Cincinnati Bengals (2019)

    Nick Sirianni - Philadelphia Eagles (2021)

    Mike McDaniel - Miami Dolphins (2022)

    DeMarco Ryans - Houston Texans (2023)

    Sean Payton - Denver Broncos (2023)

    Sean McVay - Los Angeles Rams (2017)

    Kevin Stefanski - Cleveland Browns (2020)

    Jonathan Gannon - Arizona Cardinals (2023)

    Andy Reid - Kansas City Chiefs (2013)

    Todd Bowles - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2022)

    Shane Steichan - Indianapolis Colts (2023)

    B̶̶i̶̶l̶̶l̶̶ B̶̶e̶̶l̶̶i̶̶c̶̶h̶̶i̶̶c̶̶k̶̶ -̶̶ N̶̶e̶̶w̶̶ E̶̶n̶̶g̶̶l̶̶a̶̶n̶̶d̶̶ P̶̶a̶̶t̶̶r̶̶i̶̶o̶̶t̶̶s̶̶ (̶̶2̶̶0̶̶0̶̶0̶̶)̶̶ -̶ F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ (̶1̶/1̶1̶/2̶0̶2̶3̶)̶

    M̶i̶k̶e̶ ̶M̶c̶C̶a̶r̶t̶h̶y̶ ̶-̶ ̶D̶a̶l̶l̶a̶s̶ ̶C̶o̶w̶b̶o̶y̶s̶ ̶(̶2̶0̶2̶0̶)̶ ̶-̶ ̶L̶e̶t̶ ̶G̶o̶ ̶1̶/̶1̶3̶/̶2̶0̶2̶5̶

    B̶r̶a̶n̶d̶o̶n̶ S̶t̶a̶l̶e̶y̶ -̶ L̶o̶s̶ A̶n̶g̶e̶l̶e̶s̶ C̶h̶a̶r̶g̶e̶r̶s̶ (̶2̶0̶2̶1̶)̶ -̶ F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ (̶̶12/1̶5̶/2̶̶0̶̶2̶̶3̶̶)̶̶

    A̶r̶t̶h̶u̶r̶ S̶m̶i̶t̶h̶ -̶ A̶t̶l̶a̶n̶t̶a̶ F̶a̶l̶c̶o̶n̶s̶ (̶2̶0̶2̶1̶)̶ -̶ F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ (̶1̶/8̶/2̶0̶2̶3̶)̶

    R̶o̶b̶e̶r̶t̶ ̶S̶a̶l̶e̶h̶ ̶-̶ ̶N̶e̶w̶ ̶Y̶o̶r̶k̶ ̶J̶e̶t̶s̶ ̶(̶2̶0̶2̶1̶)̶ ̶-̶ ̶F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ ̶(̶1̶0̶/̶7̶/̶2̶0̶2̶4̶)̶

    M̶a̶t̶t̶ ̶E̶b̶e̶r̶f̶l̶u̶s̶ ̶-̶ ̶C̶h̶i̶c̶a̶g̶o̶ ̶B̶e̶a̶r̶s̶ ̶(̶2̶0̶2̶2̶)̶ ̶-̶ ̶F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ ̶(̶1̶1̶/̶2̶9̶/̶2̶0̶2̶4̶)̶

    D̶̶̶e̶̶̶n̶̶̶n̶̶̶i̶̶̶s̶̶̶ ̶̶̶A̶̶̶l̶̶̶l̶̶̶e̶̶̶n̶̶̶ ̶̶̶-̶̶̶ ̶̶̶N̶̶̶e̶̶̶w̶̶̶ ̶̶̶O̶̶̶r̶̶̶l̶̶̶e̶̶̶a̶̶̶n̶̶̶s̶̶̶ ̶̶̶S̶̶̶a̶̶̶i̶̶̶n̶̶̶t̶̶̶s̶̶̶ ̶̶̶(̶̶̶2̶̶̶0̶̶̶2̶̶̶2̶̶̶)̶̶̶ ̶-̶ ̶F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ ̶1̶1̶/̶4̶/̶2̶0̶2̶4̶

    Brian Daboll - New York Giants (2022)

    D̶o̶u̶g̶ ̶P̶e̶d̶e̶r̶s̶o̶n̶ ̶-̶ ̶J̶a̶c̶k̶s̶o̶n̶v̶i̶l̶l̶e̶ ̶J̶a̶g̶u̶a̶r̶s̶ ̶(̶2̶0̶2̶2̶)̶ ̶-̶ ̶F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ ̶(̶1̶/̶6̶/̶2̶0̶2̶5̶)̶

    F̶r̶a̶n̶k̶ R̶e̶i̶c̶h̶ -̶ C̶a̶r̶o̶l̶i̶n̶a̶ P̶a̶n̶t̶h̶e̶r̶s̶ (̶2̶0̶2̶3̶)̶ -̶ F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ (̶N̶o̶v̶ 2̶3̶r̶d̶, 2̶0̶2̶3̶)̶

    A̶n̶t̶o̶n̶i̶o̶ ̶P̶i̶e̶r̶c̶e̶ ̶-̶ ̶L̶a̶s̶ ̶V̶e̶g̶a̶s̶ ̶R̶a̶i̶d̶e̶r̶s̶ ̶(̶2̶0̶2̶3̶)̶ ̶-̶ ̶F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ ̶(̶1̶/̶7̶/̶2̶0̶2̶5̶)̶

    P̶e̶t̶e̶ C̶a̶r̶r̶o̶l̶l̶ -̶ S̶e̶a̶t̶t̶l̶e̶ S̶e̶a̶h̶a̶w̶k̶s̶ (̶2̶0̶1̶0̶) -̶ F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ (̶1̶/1̶0̶/2̶0̶2̶3̶)̶

    M̶i̶k̶e̶ V̶r̶a̶b̶e̶l̶ -̶ T̶e̶n̶n̶e̶s̶s̶e̶e̶ T̶i̶t̶a̶n̶s̶ (̶2̶0̶̶1̶̶8̶̶)̶ F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ (̶1̶/9̶/2̶0̶2̶3̶)

    R̶o̶n̶ R̶i̶v̶e̶r̶a̶ -̶ W̶a̶s̶h̶i̶n̶g̶t̶o̶n̶ C̶o̶m̶m̶a̶n̶d̶e̶r̶s̶ (̶2̶0̶2̶0̶)̶ -̶ F̶i̶r̶e̶d̶ (̶1̶/8̶/2̶0̶2̶3̶)̶

    15

    14

    6

    6

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    Will Hunter Biden serve jail time before Andy Reid retires?

    Feb 6, 3:25 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM
    1%chance
    2815065

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    10648

    121

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1200

    833

    OptionProbability

    Andrew Cuomo

    Joi Ito

    Adam Perry Lang

    Harvey Weinstein

    Tom Pritzker

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Prince Harry

    Noam Chomsky

    Al Gore

    Reid Hoffman

    Bill Gates

    Les Wexner

    Barack Obama aka (Barry Soetoro)

    Bill Clinton

    Alan Dershowitz

    Hillary Clinton

    Tom Hanks

    Oprah Winfrey

    28

    28

    28

    27

    27

    25

    25

    25

    23

    23

    21

    20

    20

    19

    18

    17

    5

    4

    Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

    Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    262614

    OptionProbability

    Other

    [None - Position will cease to exist]

    Mira Murati

    Elon Musk

    Sam Altman

    Greg Brockman

    Bret Taylor

    Larry Summers

    Adam D'Angelo

    Andrej Karpathy

    Eric Schmidt

    Paul Graham

    Peter Thiel

    Wojciech Zaremba

    Ben Horowitz

    Jessica Livingston

    Marc Benioff

    Sheryl Sandberg

    Tim Cook

    John Doerr

    Reed Hastings

    Fei Fei Lee

    Alexander Wang

    George Hotz

    Brad Lightcap

    Bob Mcgrew

    Peter Welinder

    Jason Kwon

    Mark Chen

    Helen Toner

    Ilya Sutskever

    Emmett Shear

    Dario Amodei

    Satya Nadela

    Jeff Bezos

    Demis Hassabis

    Robin Li

    Clément Delangue

    Lila Ibrahim

    Alex Karp

    Reid Hoffman

    Raquel Urtasun

    Marc Andreessen

    Aidan Gomez

    Sandra Rivera

    Gary Marcus

    Jaime Teevan

    Sundar Pichai

    Jack Clark

    Anna Makanju

    Shane Legg

    Andrew Ng

    Pushmeet Kohli

    Yann LeCun

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Yoshua Bengio

    Hinton

    Marissa Mayer

    Spencer Rascoff

    Garry Tan

    51

    12

    5

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    147

    87

    OptionProbability

    Patrick Mahomes

    Sabrina Carpenter

    Selena Gomez

    Andy Reid

    Margaret Qualley

    Lana Del Rey

    Post Malone

    Gary Lightbody

    Miley Cyrus

    Zoe Kravitz

    Blake Lively

    Oprah Winfrey

    Martha Stewart

    Adam Sandler

    Lena Dunham

    Jay Z

    Kendrick Lamar

    John Mayer

    Kim Kardashian

    Ivanka Trump

    94

    94

    92

    90

    83

    61

    55

    50

    50

    43

    34

    24

    24

    24

    24

    17

    17

    17

    9

    5

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    140

    79

    OptionProbability

    Ham Serunjogi (Finance, 2023)

    Hayden Adams (Finance, 2023)

    Reid Waldman (Healthcare, 2024)

    Carter Frazee (Finance, 2024)

    Marc Baghadjian, Nikolas Ioannou (Finance, 2024)

    Dina Radenkovic (Healthcare, 2023)

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

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