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Prediction markets for RFK Jr
OptionProbability
590
574
Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2026?
Nov 11, 2:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
92.45%chance
3014099
OptionVotes
3500
286
Will RFK Jr. be the Secretary Health and Human Services at the start of 2026?
Nov 14, 11:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
72.73%chance
6411439
OptionVotes
1633
612
Will There Be a Successful Assassination of RFK Jr. Before December 31, 2026?
Feb 6, 1:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.38%chance
296269
OptionVotes
1040
957
If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027
Nov 17, 4:34 PMDec 25, 7:59 AM
42775
OptionProbability
28
27
18
14
13
Assuming RFK Jr. endorses Trump, will he remain married to Cheryl Hines?
Aug 23, 6:34 PMAug 24, 6:59 AM
95.52%chance
161857
OptionVotes
462
22
Did RFK Jr father RFK III (or a child with any name) while campaigning for president?
Oct 5, 2:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.94%chance
121651
OptionVotes
1427
42
Will any of RFK JR's family members get sick from swimming in sewage tainted water?
May 12, 11:24 PMJan 1, 12:21 AM
8.97%chance
8734
OptionVotes
319
31
OptionVotes
402
64
OptionProbability
39
31
30
US HHS to recommend against long-term use of antidepressants during RFK Jr.'s term
Mar 6, 7:23 PMFeb 11, 10:59 AM
56.38%chance
7115
OptionVotes
114
88
Will any member of the Kennedy family, other than RFK Jr, run for POTUS between now and the 2036 election?
Apr 6, 9:01 AMNov 4, 12:59 PM
36.14%chance
9110
OptionVotes
350
228
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