OptionProbability
2
3
1
4
0
5
6 - 7
8 - 9
10 - 11
12 - 15
24
21
18
11
8
6
Execution date set
Scheduled execution stayed / postponed
Execution date set (post-October 2025)
Executed
Commuted to life / other clemency beyond stay of execution
Executed in 2026
Conviction removed (vacated, pardon, actual innocence, or otherwise)
Released from prison
Executed in 2025
Dies while on death row (not executed)
100
57
50
16
Not before 2031
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2023
2024
58
7
Chancellor after the next general election is not a member of Reform
Robert Jenrick
Other
Nigel Farage
Richard Tice
Zia Yusuf
Nadhim Zahawi
Rupert Lowe
62
9
OptionVotes
NO
YES
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