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Prediction markets for Rúben Dias
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2025?
Dec 26, 4:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.41%chance
17030393
OptionVotes
7052
159
Who will be elected as the new portuguese president in January 2026?
Mar 25, 3:37 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
1215272
OptionProbability
57
28
15
7
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Does the US Federal Government spend 1% of its budget on dialysis?
Oct 24, 4:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
51.14%chance
306926
OptionVotes
1023
978
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40%chance
535035
OptionVotes
1439
430
Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?
Apr 7, 2:51 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM
20.43%chance
74874
OptionVotes
9864
2540
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
Mar 10, 12:37 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.91%chance
734737
OptionVotes
1391
1188
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
Jan 12, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.48%chance
373458
OptionVotes
1193
845
OptionVotes
988
950
Will diarrheal diseases be among the top 5 causes of death in children under five years old in 2025?
Jun 9, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.89%chance
141651
OptionVotes
2133
272
Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?
Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.94%chance
61500
OptionVotes
11500
8696
OptionProbability
99
42
37
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
21
Which diagram resource URI pattern will become the MCP standard by end of 2025?
Apr 3, 5:30 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
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