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Prediction markets for Rúben Dias
Will Joe Biden ever be formally diagnosed with Parkinson's?
Jul 8, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.41%chance
206216
OptionVotes
2786
359
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.51%chance
626005
OptionVotes
2198
167
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
Mar 10, 12:37 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.91%chance
734737
OptionVotes
1391
1188
Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?
Dec 26, 12:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10.59%chance
454012
OptionVotes
2813
277
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
Jan 12, 5:47 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
28.88%chance
423929
OptionVotes
1500
690
OptionVotes
998
940
Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?
Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.06%chance
82522
OptionVotes
12522
7986
OptionVotes
1578
634
Will the UK return the Kohinoor Diamond to India before 2030?
Apr 30, 1:33 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
13.55%chance
201389
OptionVotes
1860
787
OptionVotes
1188
737
OptionVotes
1010
961
OptionProbability
99
59
37
36
34
34
34
34
34
21
12
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