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Prediction markets for Rúben Dias
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2025?
Dec 26, 4:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.1%chance
16927440
OptionVotes
2861
428
Will I be diagnosed with high-functioning autism before 2025?
Jun 2, 6:13 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM
46.41%chance
169425
OptionVotes
21548
12824
Does the US Federal Government spend 1% of its budget on dialysis?
Oct 24, 4:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
51.39%chance
286826
OptionVotes
1028
973
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
46.58%chance
514899
OptionVotes
1325
518
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
Mar 10, 12:37 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.11%chance
724702
OptionVotes
1356
1253
Who will be elected as the new portuguese president in January 2026?
Mar 25, 3:37 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
93535
OptionProbability
31
21
13
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
4
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
Jan 12, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.93%chance
363190
OptionVotes
1130
886
OptionVotes
1000
939
OptionVotes
1340
747
OptionProbability
68
55
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?
Apr 7, 2:51 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM
49.79%chance
424
OptionVotes
5014
4986
Which diagram resource URI pattern will become the MCP standard by end of 2025?
Apr 3, 5:30 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
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