OptionProbability
Jaxson Dart - Giants
Malik Willis - Dolphins
Fernando Mendoza - Raiders
Tyler Shough - Saints
Kyler Murray - Vikings
Tua Tagovailoa - Falcons
Geno Smith - Jets
Shedeur Sanders - Browns
Justin Fields - Chiefs
Ty Simpson - Steelers
Tyrod Taylor - Jets
Trinidad Chambliss - Steelers
David Mills - Texans
Dillion Gabriel - Browns
Deshaun Watson - Browns
Kirk Cousins - Falcons
Brady Cook - Jets
Kirk Cousins - Vikings
Ty Simpson - Browns
Trinidad Chambliss - Browns
Daniel Jones - Vikings
Mac Jones - Vikings
Trinidad Chambliss - Jets
Ty Simpson - Jets
Malik Willis - Steelers
Malik Willis - Jets
Malik Willis - Browns
Malik Willis - Vikings
Gardner Minshew - Chiefs
93
91
85
82
63
33
22
21
16
15
11
10
9
7
6
5
4
2
1
The team moves or is renamed before 2050
Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1
Wins a preseason game
Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft
Justin Fields starts more games than Russell Wilson (for 24/25)
Jaylen Warren has more rushing attempts than Najee Harris
End the season with a losing record
0
Geno Smith
Other
Mac Jones
Kyler Murray
Russell Wilson
Any rookie other than Fernando Mendoza
Malik Willis
Fernando Mendoza
84
12
YES
NO
370
284
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