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Prediction markets for Salami
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.49%chance
14227715
OptionVotes
27193
9686
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.54%chance
7710878
OptionVotes
1196
857
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.27%chance
352998
OptionVotes
1004
986
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
15.54%chance
422671
OptionVotes
1861
746
Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?
Aug 16, 11:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61.28%chance
430
OptionVotes
127
97
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Aug 1, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.64%chance
14
OptionVotes
104
98
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