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Prediction markets for Salami
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40%chance
7210550
OptionVotes
1074
931
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.5%chance
839342
OptionVotes
8763
5599
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
38.9%chance
312681
OptionVotes
1071
854
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
26.53%chance
341502
OptionVotes
1173
922
Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?
Aug 16, 11:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61.28%chance
430
OptionVotes
127
97
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