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Prediction markets for Shawn
OptionProbability
20
12
11
10
9
8
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
21
16
11
10
10
9
4
3
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
20
13
10
10
10
9
3
3
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1392
950
OptionProbability
11
10
10
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which announced Star Wars projects will actually come out before 2030?
Jun 21, 12:30 AMJan 1, 1:08 AM
112813
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
91
91
90
55
55
50
50
50
45
45
45
41
38
36
35
Will Jocelyn Benson become the 50th governor of the state of Michigan ?
Feb 8, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.72%chance
14237
OptionVotes
227
44
OptionProbability
60
11
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will Dan Crenshaw actually sue Shawn Ryan or is it just a threat.
Dec 26, 3:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.7%chance
3117
OptionVotes
185
54
Will Shawn Fain be forced out of the UAW Presidency due to scandal/crime/etc.?
Oct 24, 9:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.42%chance
4107
OptionVotes
197
53
Will Shawn Fain be the president of the UAW for the rest of his life?
Sep 28, 5:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.7%chance
220
OptionVotes
110
75
Will any of these progressives be on the Democratic ticket in 2028
Jul 20, 5:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.49%chance
17
OptionVotes
124
101
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