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Stephen Colbert News

    Prediction markets for Stephen Colbert

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Josh Shapiro

    Gavin Newsom

    Pete Buttigieg

    J. B. Pritzker

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Marco Rubio

    Jeff Jackson

    Jon Ossoff

    Josh Hawley

    KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Glenn Youngkin

    Elise Stefanik

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Nikki Haley

    Ron DeSantis

    Wes Moore

    Andy Beshear

    Kamala Harris

    Brian Kemp

    Amy Klobuchar

    Cory Booker

    Gina Raimondo

    Ro Khanna

    Chris Murphy

    Brian Schatz

    Tammy Duckworth

    Tammy Baldwin

    Chris Sununu

    Katie Hobbs

    Josh Green

    Tina Kotek

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Ted Cruz

    Kristi Noem

    Raphael Warnock

    Jared Polis

    Tom Cotton

    Joni Ernst

    Michael Bennet

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Kevin Stitt

    Spencer Cox

    Tim Walz

    Ivanka Trump

    Mark Cuban

    Stephen Miller

    James Donaldson (MrBeast)

    Tim Scott

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Andrew Yang

    Beto O'Rourke

    Mark Kelly

    Jay Inslee

    Deval Patrick

    Eric Swalwell

    Wayne Messam

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Julian Castro

    Dean Phillips

    Katie Britt

    Laphonza Butler

    Eric Schmitt

    Mike Lee

    Chris Coons

    Tim Kaine

    Lisa Murkowski

    Tate Reeves

    Ruben Gallego

    David Hogg

    Will Hurd

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Dan Crenshaw

    John Fetterman

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Stephen Curry

    Rand Paul

    Taylor Swift

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

    Matt Gaetz

    Joe Rogan

    Marianne Williamson

    Ezra Klein

    Mike Pence

    Stephen Colbert

    Markwayne Mullin

    Joe Manchin

    Maura Healey

    Al Gore

    DUPLICATE

    Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Scott Alexander

    Sam Altman

    Tucker Carlson

    Zendaya

    Michelle Obama

    Kanye West

    Mitt Romney

    Sarah Palin

    Jon Stewart

    Ben Shapiro

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

    Me

    Krantz (the user @Krantz)

    41

    22

    17

    14

    13

    12

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Mainstream Media

    Letitia James

    January 6th Committee

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    LQBTQ / Trans People

    Migrants

    The Bidens (Joe, Ashley, Jill, and/or Hunter Biden)

    Elon Musk

    Anthony Fauci

    Gen. Mark Milley

    Universities

    Paper straws

    Blinken

    Maine

    Due Process

    Alejandro Mayorkas

    Jack Smith

    Zohran Mamdani

    Leakers

    National Institutes of Health

    Bruce Springsteen

    The New York Times (NYT)

    Panama

    Alexander Vindman

    Solar Energy

    Stephen Colbert

    Joe Biden

    The Atlantic

    Greenland

    Barack Obama

    Beyoncé

    Ann Selzer

    the National Archives

    Rosie O'Donnell

    Michael Cohen

    Fluoride

    Nancy Pelosi

    Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)

    Denmark

    Jeffrey Goldberg (Atlantic columnist)

    John Kelly

    Public Libraries

    The Metropolitan Museum of Art

    Miles Taylor

    Democratic Republic of the Congo

    Bill Barr

    Any non-Tesla electric car manufacturer

    Seth Myers

    Taylor Swift

    Vaccine mandates

    Emmanuel Macron

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Christopher Steele

    Wikipedia

    Ken Klippenstein

    TIME magazine

    Susan Collins (R-ME)

    Any Manifold User

    Mike Pence

    Jeff Bezos

    Mariann Edgar Budde

    Jen Psaki (former White House Press Secretary and current MSNBC host)

    SSRIs

    WIRED Magazine

    Liz Cheney

    E. Jean Carroll

    Tucker Carlson

    Brad Raffensperger

    BlueSky

    American sign language signers or interpreters

    JD Vance

    The population of penguins and seabirds on the Heard and McDonald Islands

    Pete Hegseth

    Black Nationals

    Alec Baldwin

    Chappell Roan

    Bill Burr

    Not Elected

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    93

    85

    83

    83

    82

    81

    80

    78

    76

    74

    73

    70

    68

    65

    63

    62

    60

    60

    58

    55

    54

    53

    53

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    43

    40

    38

    37

    35

    33

    31

    31

    29

    28

    28

    27

    27

    26

    26

    25

    24

    23

    20

    19

    19

    19

    17

    14

    12

    12

    12

    10

    6

    4

    3

    2

    0

    OptionProbability

    Andrew Tate

    Nick Mullen

    Adam Friedland

    Tumbles

    Medhi Hasan

    Sam Harris

    Brian & Ed Krassenstein

    Dave Rubin

    Richard Hanania

    Joe Rogan

    Mark Cuban

    Vaush (after Jan 1st 2024)

    Matt Taibbi

    Cremieux

    Christopher Rufo

    Jack Dorsey

    Robert Sapolsky

    Ray Kurzweil

    Theo Von

    Ezra Klein

    Mark Kelly

    Tim walz

    shane gillis

    matt mccusker

    Mr Girl (after Jan 1st 2024)

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    Elon Musk

    Julian Assange

    Hasanabi (after Jan 1st 2024)

    Andrew Yang

    Alexandra Cooper

    Stephen Colbert

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    John Oliver

    Tristan Tate

    Tucker Carlson

    Jim Jefferies

    Don Lemon

    Robert F Kennedy Jr

    Mr. Beast

    JD Vance

    Justin Trudeau

    Kamala Harris

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Bill Mahrer

    Jon Stewart

    Taylor Swift

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Barack Obama

    Michelle Obama

    Donald Trump

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    74

    72

    70

    70

    63

    59

    55

    52

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    46

    46

    45

    43

    43

    41

    41

    41

    40

    39

    39

    38

    37

    33

    28

    25

    21

    20

    17

    15

    14

    14

    11

    10

    7

    6

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Pete Buttigieg

    Nikki Haley

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    J.B. Pritzker

    Greg Abbott

    Elise Stefanik

    Ron DeSantis

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Wes Moore

    Andy Beshear

    Brian Kemp

    Kari Lake

    Kamala Harris

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Raphael Warnock

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Roy Cooper

    Ilhan Omar

    Jon Stewart

    Beto O'Rourke

    Mark Cuban

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    John Fetterman

    Josh Hawley

    Stephen Colbert

    Kristi Noem

    Tammy Duckworth

    Tim Scott

    Ben Carson

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Byron Donalds

    Tucker Carlson

    Andrew Yang

    Katie Porter

    Katie Britt

    Michelle Obama

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Matt Gaetz

    Chuck Norris

    Hillary Clinton

    45

    44

    31

    23

    21

    19

    19

    18

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    16

    16

    16

    16

    15

    14

    14

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    12

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    8

    8

    7

    6

    5

    5

    3

    3

    1

    OptionProbability

    Desi Lydic

    Josh Johnson

    Other

    Stephen Colbert

    None (show is canceled or rebranded)

    Error

    Ronny Chieng

    Hassan Minhaj

    Jon Stewart

    Jordan Klepper

    Mikey Day

    Al Franken

    The Good Liars (Jason Selvig and Davram Stiefler)

    Tony Zaret

    40

    30

    9

    8

    4

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    Will Colbert be forced off air before May, 2026?

    Jul 27, 12:49 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM
    30%chance
    463508

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    153

    65

    OptionProbability

    Magnus Carlsen

    Donald Trump

    jd vance

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Neil Howe

    Mehdi Hasan

    Ro Khanna

    Jaron Lanier

    Daniel Sheehan

    Chris Bledsoe

    Hikaru Nakamura

    Stephen Colbert

    Kyrsten Sinema

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Destiny

    Taylor Swift

    xQc

    Kamala Harris

    Vaush

    Hasan Piker

    Ludwig

    100

    100

    100

    77

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    36

    34

    34

    25

    22

    17

    13

    10

    10

    7

    5

    5

    OptionProbability

    Sesame Street

    Jeopardy

    Simpsons

    Battlebots

    Cyberchase

    Wheel of Fortune

    Homestar Runner

    Peppa Pig

    Bobs Burgers

    Survivor

    Antiques Roadshow

    Rick and Morty

    Spongebob Squarepants

    Shark Tank

    Ancient Aliens

    Paw patrol

    NCIS

    South Park

    Bluey

    Severence

    The Bear

    Ghost Adventures

    Storage Wars

    Deadliest Catch

    Family Feud

    Black Mirror

    Always Sunny in Philadelphia

    Pawn Stars

    Phineas and Ferb

    American Pickers

    Family Guy

    Abbott Elementry

    Teen Titans Go!

    Robot Chicken

    Beavis and Butt Head

    Law & Order (revival)

    The Incredible Dr Pol

    Ghost Hunters

    Impractical Jokers

    American Horror Story

    Law & Order: SVU

    Grey's Anatomy

    White Lotus

    Forged in Fire

    Hazbin Hotel

    Is it Cake

    American Dad

    True Detective

    Futurama

    Curb Your Enthusiasm

    Red vs Blue

    Stranger Things

    Late show with Stephen Colbert

    97

    91

    91

    90

    90

    90

    89

    88

    88

    86

    85

    81

    77

    76

    74

    73

    70

    67

    66

    66

    66

    61

    60

    60

    60

    58

    57

    56

    56

    54

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

    46

    40

    38

    38

    29

    28

    21

    17

    6

    0

    OptionProbability

    At least 2

    At least 1

    At least 3

    At least 4

    At least 5

    0

    At least 6

    At least 7

    At least 8

    At least 9

    At least 10

    79

    78

    71

    42

    25

    23

    12

    10

    8

    7

    5

    OptionProbability

    Desi Lydic

    Hasan Minhaj

    Ronny Chieng

    No permanent host by 2030

    Other

    Jordan Klepper

    Jon Stewart

    Michael Kosta

    Dulcé Sloan

    Troy Iwata

    Grace Kuhlenschmidt

    Josh Johnson

    Lewis Black

    John Leguizamo

    Leslie Jones

    Roy Wood Jr.

    Trevor Noah

    21

    21

    11

    11

    9

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    Who is the next late night show host to leave?

    Oct 8, 7:22 PMNov 1, 2:59 AM
    51281

    OptionProbability

    Stephen Colbert

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Jimmy Fallon

    Seth Meyers

    Other

    96

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    254

    39

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