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Prediction markets for Storm
OptionVotes
1078
882
On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Sep 4, 3:05 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
32424
OptionProbability
59
52
52
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
45
41
41
41
41
37
35
34
34
31
26
24
24
24
22
18
16
4
4
Will "Solar Storms" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Mar 8, 11:55 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
4.93%chance
82390
OptionVotes
2676
852
SOAI#9: Datacenter NIMBYism takes the US by storm and sways certain midterm/gubernatorial elections in 2026
Oct 9, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.67%chance
301840
OptionVotes
1503
665
Named storm before start of Atlantic hurricane season
Mar 21, 10:37 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
28.08%chance
131122
OptionVotes
1600
625
Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?
Mar 19, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.14%chance
12995
OptionVotes
1521
905
Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Apr 9, 7:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
4968
OptionProbability
96
93
92
89
73
73
73
73
73
73
66
66
66
50
50
50
34
24
17
13
13
OptionVotes
472
21
Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?
Feb 29, 12:57 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
29.94%chance
21515
OptionVotes
1193
896
Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Mar 19, 1:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.34%chance
8244
OptionVotes
212
203
Will Storm Ascher (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.33%chance
8175
OptionVotes
264
156
OptionProbability
44
28
28
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